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Gold Forecast: Gold Slips Into the Weekend

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

No matter which direction you are trading, you need to build up your position slowly because gold does tend to move quite drastically but in a very choppy behavior.

  • Over the past few days, gold markets have experienced a considerable amount of negativity, with Friday's trading session being no exception.
  • The market appears to be heading towards the 200-Day EMA, an area that is drawing a lot of attention.
  • This region is likely to experience a significant amount of volatility, and it's unclear whether the gold market will find buyers.
  • The market will likely be influenced by interest rates and the US dollar, which has a negative correlation with gold over the long term.

Technical Levels Will Be Watched Closely by Traders

The 50% Fibonacci level, which is situated just below the crucial 200-Day EMA, is an area that will also be closely monitored. In the coming days, we may see a lot of volatility, and we will have to make a decision about the market's direction. While there is a lot of noise in the market, breaking down below the 50% Fibonacci level could be a warning sign for gold bulls. If this happens, the gap just above the 61.8% Fibonacci level, closer to the $1750 level, could offer support. However, breaking down below that level could lead to a collapse in the gold market, potentially causing a drop down to the $1660 level.

Currently, the market is more of a "fade the rally" market, with a lot of noise just underneath. However, if there is enough negativity in the market, a collapse could occur. In the meantime, traders should monitor the market closely and look for any potential developments that could impact the market's direction. Interest rates and the US dollar will continue to play a significant role in shaping the market's outlook, and any significant movement in these areas could have a corresponding impact on the gold market. Ultimately, it's essential to remain vigilant and consider potential risks when making investment decisions in the gold market, as the gold markets tend to be extraordinarily volatile, and I do think that with all of the interest rate noise out there and of course concerns around the world when it comes to global growth, you really need to keep an eye on your position sizing and understand that a lot of trouble could be coming your way if you are not careful. With this, no matter which direction you are trading, you need to build up your position slowly because gold does tend to move quite drastically but in a very choppy behavior. Do not get yourself shaken out, it’s these types of markets that kick off new trends, but you don’t want to blow up your account trying to figure out which way to go.

XAU/USD chart

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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