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GBP/JPY Forecast: Continues to Test the Upper Reaches of Consolidation

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

Overall, the GBP/JPY pair is currently in a state of flux, with a lot of back-and-forth movement. 

The GBP/JPY pair has been trading in a tight range lately, with a lot of back-and-forth movement. While this can be frustrating for traders who are looking for a clear direction, it’s important to keep in mind that this type of market behavior can also present opportunities for those who are patient and willing to wait for the right entry points.

One thing to note is that we are currently at the top of a major negative candlestick, which suggests that the market could potentially rally all the way up to the ¥169 level if we break above it. At that point, it could become a “buy-and-hold” type of situation, which would be more of a “risk on” scenario. However, if we do see a pullback from here, the ¥165 level could be a potential target for a move down to the 50-Day EMA at ¥163, and then the 200-Day EMA at ¥162.50. If the price continues to drop below that level, it could open up the possibility of a move down to the ¥160 level, which has previously provided support.

Risk Appetite

  • It’s important to remember that in a noisy market like this, it can be tempting to make impulsive trades based on short-term movements.
  • However, this can be a dangerous approach, as it’s difficult to predict where the market will move next.
  • Instead, it’s often better to wait for signs of support or resistance before making a trade.

Additionally, it’s worth considering the broader market conditions that may be influencing this currency pair. For example, the Japanese yen has been struggling across the board recently, while the British pound has been showing strength. This combination could create opportunities for traders who are looking to buy dips and sell on rallies.

Overall, the GBP/JPY pair is currently in a state of flux, with a lot of back-and-forth movement. However, by remaining patient and waiting for the right entry points, traders may be able to take advantage of potential opportunities in this market. Additionally, it’s important to keep an eye on broader market conditions that could influence this currency pair, as these factors can provide an important context for making trading decisions. The risk appetite for traders will continue to be a major influence on what happens as well, so pay close attention to this via other markets.

GBP/JPY

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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