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Gold Forecast: Gold Pulls Back From Overbought Conditions

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

The key $2000 support level is currently being tested, and if this level holds, it could provide buying opportunities for traders.

  • Gold prices fell on Monday, as the metal faced profit-taking after the recent rally to record highs.
  • The yellow metal initially gapped lower, and it seems the market is taking a breather after surging above the key $2000 level, which it had been struggling to breach.
  • This is a natural and healthy retracement after such a strong rally.

Buying Opportunities Ahead

The $2000 mark is now acting as a significant support level for gold, and if this level holds, it could present buying opportunities for traders looking to enter the market. If this support level is broken, we could see a move down to the $1975 level, where more buyers may enter the market.

However, it is important to remember that gold is still in a bullish market, and any retracements are likely to be temporary in nature. We have seen an impulsive move higher recently, which has been followed by a period of consolidation and choppiness. This is typical price action after such a significant move, and it does not necessarily indicate a shift in trend.

From a technical standpoint, a move above the gap created by the drop would be a bullish sign and could lead to a surge toward the $2050 level, and potentially even higher to the $2100 region. However, this is easier said than done, as gold prices are currently lacking momentum, and the market may require some supportive action before continuing to climb. Perhaps some kind of hammer on the daily chart, or an engulfing candle.

Overall, the current market conditions for gold are mixed, and it is essential to remain cautious. Although there is still a lot of uncertainty around global growth and central bank policy, gold prices are not immune to short-term profit-taking or market volatility. Thus, it is recommended to wait for a pullback to find supportive levels before entering new positions.

In conclusion, the yellow metal is in a consolidation phase after reaching record highs. The key $2000 support level is currently being tested, and if this level holds, it could provide buying opportunities for traders. However, any move lower than this could see gold retrace further, possibly down to $1975 or the 50-Day exponential moving average. It is vital to keep an eye on the technical levels and wait for supportive action before taking any new positions in the market.

XAU/USD chart

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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