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Gold Forecast: Continues to Sit in the Same Area

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

We still see the market doing everything it can to ignore the Federal Reserve, so this is also a major issue at the moment as well. 

  • Gold has been on an impressive run over the past few months, but on Friday, the markets remained indecisive and consolidated around the $2000 level.
  • The approaching 50-Day EMA could provide support in due time, which could offer potential buying opportunities for investors.
  • Gold remains an excellent asset for wealth preservation, with its underlying pressure and desire to hold wealth during uncertain times.

It is essential to watch the market for a break below the 50-Day EMA, which could result in a negative situation for gold, pushing it down to the $1900 level. If gold drops that far, there may be considerable noise in the market, which could lead to more uncertainty. However, if gold breaks out to the upside, it could face significant resistance at the $2050 level, potentially leading to a move toward $2100. Anything above that could create a longer-term "buy-and-hold" situation, drawing more momentum to the upside.

The US dollar remains a significant factor to consider when trading gold, although this correlation has broken down recently, making it a complex trade. In the 1980s, both the US dollar and gold rallied, and we may see a similar move next. Gold markets are expected to be volatile, so it is essential to keep a reasonable position size. Short-term pullbacks offer an opportunity to buy into a position gradually, adding to it as the market goes along, and taking profits once the top of the overall consolidation area is reached.

Keep a Reasonable Position

We still see the market doing everything it can to ignore the Federal Reserve, so this is also a major issue at the moment as well. With this, erratic behavior will remain the norm, but with an upward trend intact.

Ultimately, gold markets have been consolidating around the $2000 level, with the approaching 50-Day EMA potentially providing support over time. Dips in the market will continue to offer potential buying opportunities, given the underlying pressure and desire for wealth preservation. However, investors must stay informed about various factors to make informed decisions regarding gold investments and speculation. Gold remains an excellent asset for wealth preservation, with its underlying pressure and desire to hold wealth during uncertain times. It is crucial to keep a reasonable position size and collect profits once the top of the overall consolidation area is reached.

Gold

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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