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Gold Forecast: Continues to Look Bullish While It Takes a Breather

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

It is important to recognize the influence of bond markets on gold prices, as their fluctuations often impact the precious metal. 

  • Gold markets displayed back-and-forth movement during Thursday's trading session, as participants await the next major move.
  • The $2000 level stands as a significant support area, functioning as a potential market floor. Additionally, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) provides technical support, further reinforcing the upward trend.
  • A breakdown below these levels would raise concerns about the ongoing uptrend, but even then, there is considerable underlying momentum that could support a recovery. The current sideways grinding pattern observed in gold markets is a common occurrence.

On the upside, a breakthrough above the $2100 level would likely propel the market higher, potentially transforming it into a more favorable "buy-and-hold" situation. Conversely, a move below the 50-Day EMA could lead to a decline toward the $1950 level, followed by the $1900 level where the 200-Day EMA is situated.

The market is expected to remain highly volatile, necessitating a focus on short-term charts. However, buying dips appears to be a more favorable strategy given the prevailing positive sentiment in the market. Noise and short-term volatility are anticipated to persist, providing ample trading opportunities. For those who look at selloffs as a potential opportunity, it should continue to be a solid choice.

The Market is Expected to Remain Noisy and Volatile

It is important to recognize the influence of bond markets on gold prices, as their fluctuations often impact the precious metal. Additionally, concerns surrounding wealth preservation have driven investors to consider gold as a safe-haven asset. The chaos in the bond markets has been a major driver of the attractiveness of gold, as the once “safe asset” has taken a bit of a hit recently.

In the end, gold markets exhibited back-and-forth movement on Thursday as participants awaited the next significant move. The $2000 level continues to provide strong support, while the 50-Day EMA acts as a technical support indicator. The market's grinding sideways pattern is a typical occurrence in gold markets. A breakthrough above $2100 could lead to further upward momentum, while a breakdown below the 50-Day EMA might result in a decline toward $1950 and $1900. The market is expected to remain noisy and volatile, requiring traders to navigate short-term charts. Buying dips appears to be a favorable strategy given the positive market sentiment. The influence of bond markets and concerns about wealth preservation contribute to the ongoing interest in gold as an asset.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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