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Gold Forecast: Markets Continue to Recover from the Sell-off

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

 Presently, the market maintains its subdued demeanor, but the robust support underpinning its foundation demands acknowledgment.

  • A surge of momentum entered the gold markets during Friday's trading session, propelling the precious metal to brush against the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average.
  • However, the momentum was short-lived as the market displayed its ambivalence. Trading within a vast consolidation zone, the current pattern seems poised to persist.
  • Gold appears content to meander between the $1950 support level and the $2000 resistance level, bouncing. While we might be entering a phase of tranquil trading, the underlying direction over the long term is likely to favor the upside.

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Should the candlestick breach Thursday's session lows, it could trigger an extended selling spree. Yet, the dramatic turnaround witnessed towards the end of Thursday's session suggests that a considerable pool of buyers lurking beneath the surface. Of particular significance is the $1900 threshold, an area that garners substantial attention. Not only does this level hold psychological weight due to its round figure, but it also coincides with the emergence of the 200-Day EMA. Given the indicator's influence, it is no wonder that many investors place great emphasis on this region, instilling it with substantial support. Only upon breaking below this crucial level would we potentially descend to the $1800 mark. Notably, this level marked the origin of the previous rally, rendering it a potential target in the event of a true breakout. Nonetheless, such a scenario seems improbable in the foreseeable future.

Market Remains Quiet

Conversely, a breach above the $2000 threshold would likely propel gold towards the $2050 level, and possibly even the $2100 mark. The latter holds particular significance due to its status as a major round number and its historical role as a "triple top." Consequently, it remains an influential area worthy of attention. Presently, the market maintains its subdued demeanor, but the robust support underpinning its foundation demands acknowledgment.

In the end, while the gold market revels in its current quietude, beneath the surface lies a steadfast floor that cannot be ignored. This floor represents an unwavering bastion of support, a testament to the enduring appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. As the ebb and flow of market forces continue, attentive observers must remain vigilant to grasp the subtle shifts that may shape the future of this precious metal, as we have the central bank noise, the concerns of the global economy, and of course the desire to protect wealth.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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