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Gold Forecast: Market Faces Pressure Amid Strong US Dollar

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

This week, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank are scheduled to hold meetings, which could introduce peripheral noise that impacts the gold market.

  • The gold market experienced a significant decline on Tuesday, primarily due to the strengthening US dollar.
  • The market has been characterized by volatile behavior, prompting traders to monitor key levels closely.
  • While violating the previous week's hammer pattern to the downside suggests potential bearish momentum, important support levels, such as the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the 200-Day Exponential Moving Average, could influence the market's direction.

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The $1900 level and surrounding area are expected to provide significant support. Although Tuesday's candlestick exhibited notable size, it does not necessarily indicate a reversal in the trend. If the market shows signs of renewed bullish pressure, attention may shift toward the 50-Day EMA as a potential resistance level. The further upward movement would face the formidable $2000 level, often serving as a psychological price magnet.

Should the market break below the 200-Day EMA, it would have a substantial impact, losing the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the key moving average. This combination would present a significant challenge to the overall uptrend. Whether this scenario unfolds remains uncertain, emphasizing the importance of closely monitoring market developments in the coming days. Although the market is currently testing support, there is potential for buying interest to emerge. Traders should also consider the possibility of gold serving as a wealth preservation asset, which could contribute to recovery over time.

Traders Should Follow Market Developments

This week, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank are scheduled to hold meetings, which could introduce peripheral noise that impacts the gold market. Market participants should closely observe any announcements or statements from these central banks, as they may influence gold prices. A break above the $2000 level would pave the way for a move towards previous highs, located around the $2100 level.

The gold market faced selling pressure on Tuesday, driven by a stronger US dollar. However, significant support levels, including the $1900 zone, have the potential to stabilize prices. Violating the previous week's hammer pattern raises caution but does not yet indicate a definitive trend reversal. Key monitoring levels include the 200-Day EMA and the 61.8% Fibonacci level, which could significantly impact the market's overall uptrend. Central bank meetings and peripheral noise from the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank may contribute to short-term volatility. Traders should closely follow market developments and the potential for a recovery, particularly if the $2000 level is surpassed.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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