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Gold Forecast: Markets Remain Range-Bound

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • Gold markets exhibited a back-and-forth movement during Tuesday's trading session, hovering around the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average once again.
  • The market has been stuck in a tight range, with the $1950 level serving as a reliable support and the $2000 level acting as a persistent resistance.
  • Given the ongoing monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve, it is expected that the market will continue to display noisy behavior.

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All eyes will be on the Federal Reserve's announcement on Wednesday, as market participants eagerly await insights into future monetary policy decisions. Additionally, the European Central Bank (ECB) will also release its monetary policy statement, further contributing to market uncertainty. As a result, the gold market is likely to remain range-bound for the time being, and it is essential to observe whether a breakout occurs to determine the next direction.

Should the price surpass the $2000 level, it would signal a potential continuation of the upward trend in gold, with the $2050 level serving as the next target. If the market manages to breach that level, it would open the door to challenge the significant resistance at $2100.

Conversely, if the price breaks below the $1950 support level, it could prompt a move towards the 200-Day EMA. Overall, the market appears to be at a pivotal point, and a decision on the next direction may be reached in the coming days. However, for now, the market seems to be biding its time and exhibiting a range-bound pattern.

Choppiness Ahead

While awaiting a breakout, it is crucial to anticipate heightened volatility and choppiness in the gold market. As such, it is likely to be a short-term trading environment. Gold has long been favored as a wealth preservation asset, and its appeal will depend on various factors, including market dynamics and global economic conditions.

Notably, the $2100 level has acted as a significant resistance, forming a triple top pattern over an extended period. Traders have closely monitored this level, considering its historical importance in the gold market.

In the end, gold markets remain trapped within a range, with the $1950 support level and $2000 resistance level defining the boundaries. Central bank meetings, such as the Federal Reserve and ECB, are contributing to market uncertainty. Traders should exercise patience and wait for a breakout before committing to a larger move. The short-term environment is likely to be characterized by volatility and choppiness. As the market awaits clearer signals, it is important to assess factors such as wealth preservation demand and the historical significance of key resistance levels, such as $2100.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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