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Gold Forecast: Markets Consolidate Following Recent Surge

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

As inflationary pressures ease, concerns over the adverse effects of the bond market on gold diminish. 

  • Gold markets experienced limited activity during Thursday's trading session, with prices hovering just above the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average.
  • This period of relative calm suggests that the market may be taking a breather after a sharp surge in the previous session.
  • With the price positioned above the 50-Day EMA, there is potential for an upward move toward the significant $2000 level, which has historically attracted substantial interest from market participants.

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Should the market break below the 50-Day EMA, there is a possibility of a descent towards the 200-Day EMA, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This level is expected to offer robust support and marks a potential bottom for the overall trend. Although market conditions have been volatile, a short-term pullback could present a buying opportunity from a longer-term perspective. Additionally, the struggling US dollar, often beneficial for gold, adds further support to the bullish outlook.

As inflationary pressures ease, concerns over the adverse effects of the bond market on gold diminish. This shift in sentiment contributes to a positive environment for the precious metal. Consequently, in the event of a short-term pullback, ample buyers are likely to view it as an opportunity to acquire gold at a perceived value.

The Market is in a Consolidation Phase

In the case of a turnaround and a break above the $2000 level, the market could target the $2050 level as the next significant resistance point. However, it is important to consider the possibility of a major downside move if the 200-Day EMA is breached. In such a scenario, a drop toward the $1800 level could potentially negate the previous upward momentum. While this outcome is not anticipated, it is crucial for traders to remain cautious and consider both sides of the trade.

Gold markets are currently in a consolidation phase, reflecting the recent surge in prices. As the market takes a breather, the potential for an upward move toward the $2000 level remains. A short-term pullback, if it occurs, should be viewed as an opportunity for longer-term investors to enter the market. Factors such as a weakening US dollar and easing inflationary pressures contribute to the overall positive sentiment surrounding gold.

It is important for traders to monitor support levels, including the 50-Day EMA and the 200-Day EMA, as they can influence market dynamics. While the possibility of a major downward move exists, the prevailing market conditions favor the continuation of the upward trend.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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