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Gold Forecast: Markets Find Support and Rally, Indicating Potential Upside Momentum

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

While acknowledging the possibility of a downturn, it is important to recognize the factors aligning to drive this market higher. 

  • The gold market experienced a temporary decline during Monday's trading session, only to find significant support around the $1915 region, leading to a notable rebound.
  • The 200-Day Exponential Moving Average remains a critical area of interest, shaping the market's dynamics and inviting traders to seek potential momentum.
  • Moreover, the 61.8% Fibonacci level aligns with the support offered by the 200-Day EMA, further attracting the attention of many traders.

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While acknowledging the possibility of a downturn, it is important to recognize the factors aligning to drive this market higher. The confluence of support levels suggests a favorable environment for continued upside movement. However, it is crucial to consider that the upcoming Independence Day holiday in the United States on Tuesday might result in reduced liquidity, potentially impacting market dynamics. Nonetheless, if the market remains above the 200-Day EMA, traders will likely seek opportunities to buy gold whenever it experiences temporary pullbacks.

The initial target for the gold market lies at the $1950 level, followed by the 50-Day EMA. A breakthrough beyond this level would open the possibility of reaching the psychologically significant $2000 mark, which carries considerable market significance. Surpassing this level would then create the potential for a retest of the recent market highs.

The Market shows Signs of Resilience

On the other hand, if the market were to breach the 200-Day EMA and potentially the $1900 level, a downward move toward the $1800 level could unfold. It is worth noting that the $1800 level may present strong support, having served as the starting point for the most recent rally. Breaking below $1900 would attract significant attention from traders, making the $1800 level an enticing target. Under such circumstances, the resilience of gold hunters to seek value opportunities repeatedly would remain evident.

The gold market experienced a temporary dip during Monday's trading session but promptly rebounded from support near the $1915 region. The 200-Day EMA remains critical, and its alignment with the 61.8% Fibonacci level increases its significance for traders. While acknowledging the potential impact of reduced liquidity due to the Independence Day holiday, the current market conditions suggest that gold buyers should consider entering the market, particularly during pullbacks. The initial target is $1950, with further potential to reach the 50-Day EMA and even breach the $2000 level. Conversely, breaking below the 200-Day EMA and $1900 could lead to a decline toward the $1800 level, attracting value hunters. Overall, the gold market shows signs of resilience and presents opportunities for traders to find value in their positions.

GoldReady to trade today’s Gold prediction? Here’s a list of some of the best XAU/USD brokers to check out.

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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