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Gold Forecast: Signs of Life, Supported by Technical Levels

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

The market is eagerly awaiting central bank actions, as monetary policy decisions could have a substantial impact on gold prices.

Gold markets experienced a slight pullback during Monday's trading session, but then rebounded as value hunters entered the marketplace. It is important to note that the 200-Day Exponential Moving Average and the 61% Fibonacci level provide technical support in the area, potentially attracting traders back into the market.

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  • Currently, the gold market is trading between the 200-Day EMA below and the 50-Day EMA above.
  • Such a range often suggests an impending squeeze, which could lead to significant moves.
  • The recent holding of the 61.8% Fibonacci level offers some hope for gold bulls. However, close attention must be paid to the US Dollar and the Forex market, as they exhibit a negative correlation with gold.
  • Additionally, the potential impact of dropping interest rates on gold should be considered, as hinted at during Monday's trading session.

A breakout above the $1950 level would provide a genuine opportunity for an upward move, potentially targeting the $2000 level. Conversely, breaking down below the 200-Day EMA, which aligns with the $1900 level, could generate additional selling pressure and potentially lead to a breakdown towards the $1800 level, effectively erasing the previous gains.

In general, global markets are closely monitoring the actions of central banks, as there is a prevailing sense of uncertainty regarding the next steps in terms of interest rate hikes. The potential loosening of monetary policies around the world could serve as a catalyst for a significant upward move in gold prices. Until such developments occur, the market is focused on establishing a potential bottom.

Gold markets witnessed a minor pullback during Monday's trading session but quickly rebounded, driven by value hunters. Technical support from the 200-Day EMA and the 61% Fibonacci level played a crucial role in attracting traders. The market is currently range-bound between the 200-Day EMA and the 50-Day EMA, hinting at the possibility of an upcoming squeeze. The relationship with the US Dollar and the impact of interest rates remain key factors to monitor. A breakout above the $1950 level would be significant, while breaking down below the 200-Day EMA could increase selling pressure. The market is eagerly awaiting central bank actions, as monetary policy decisions could have a substantial impact on gold prices. Until clarity emerges, the focus remains on establishing a potential bottom in the market.

Ready to trade our Gold price forecast? We’ve made a list of the best Gold brokers worth trading with.

Gold

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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