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AUD/USD Forecast: AUD Continues to be Very Noisy

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

Stepping back from these intricate minutiae, the prevailing scenario paints a canvas adorned with hues of uncertainty and subtlety.

  • Tuesday's trading session cast a spotlight on the AUD/USD lively performance, featuring a swift plunge below the 0.65 level followed by a prompt recovery.
  • This sequence of events illuminated an ongoing tussle between the levels of support and resistance.
  • Beyond the surface significance of the round number, the 0.65 level carries considerable psychological weight, inviting a closer examination and raising the potential for a transient shift in the short term.

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Just above this lies the 0.66 level, which could assume the role of a resistance barrier due to its prior function as a support zone. This phenomenon, often termed as "market memory," wields the power to influence market behavior. Even if breached, the 0.67 level—housing the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average—emerges as a possible stumbling block. Within this intricate confluence, any upward surge might also reveal signs of exhaustion, creating a window of opportunity for vigilant traders.

Conversely, contemplating the scenario where the lower boundary of Monday's candlestick is breached raises the specter of the Australian dollar slipping beneath the 0.64 level. This trajectory could propel the currency further downwards, possibly homing in on the 0.64 level—a consistent touchstone with historical weight.

In this intricate tapestry, adopting a circumspect approach to position sizes emerges as a judicious strategy. The Australian dollar's sensitivity to shifts in risk appetite and global growth prospects fosters a market environment fraught with noise, demanding a methodical approach in devising effective trading strategies.

Volatility Ahead

Stepping back from these intricate minutiae, the prevailing scenario paints a canvas adorned with hues of uncertainty and subtlety. Sentiments in the trading arena stand divided, as participants grapple with deciphering the impending trajectory. The resolute stance of the Federal Reserve hints at potential resilience in the US dollar, yet a faction of traders leans toward the possibility of the Federal Reserve's tightening leeway being constrained. Amidst this intricate dance, the global growth outlook emerges as a pivotal arbiter, rendering the overall landscape intricate and enigmatic.

In essence, recent developments concerning the Australian dollar cast a spotlight on the multifaceted realm of currency trading. The confined ranges and fluid dynamics encapsulate the challenges that traders face as they navigate this domain. Amidst these undulations, the Australian dollar's susceptibility to the currents of broader economic forces introduces an additional layer of intricacy. As market participants strive to unravel uncertainties while grappling with divergent perspectives, the unfolding trading activity is poised to continue its trajectory of unpredictability and volatility.

AUD/USD

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Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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