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Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil Prices See Crosswinds

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

The strengthening of the US dollar has also played a role in influencing this market trend, yet regardless of the contributing factors, it's evident that the market is finally taking a well-deserved pause.

  • The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market experienced a rather notable decline during Tuesday's trading session, with indications pointing towards a potential descent towards the $80 level.
  • Nonetheless, various support zones scattered throughout the market offer the potential to intervene and provide substantial backing.
  • Notably, the implementation of OPEC's production cuts has proven to be incredibly bullish, highlighted by Saudi Arabia's withdrawal of 1 million barrels per day from the market.

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The strengthening of the US dollar has also played a role in influencing this market trend, yet regardless of the contributing factors, it's evident that the market is finally taking a well-deserved pause. This respite should be viewed against the backdrop of the market finding ample buyers beneath, ready to seize the opportunity to capitalize on what has been a robust and upward trajectory over the past several months. However, it's essential to bear in mind that we are currently amidst the summer vacation season, potentially leading to continued challenges stemming from a lack of trading volume in this market.

Brent, much like its counterpart, experienced a significant decline during the recent trading session. However, it appears to be closely monitoring the $85 level below. This level carries a psychological significance and, should it falter, we then turn our attention to the 200-Day Exponential Moving Average located around the $82.50 level. On a holistic note, it's reasonable to assume that buyers are lurking underneath the market's surface, implying that a rebound might be on the horizon.

The Potential for Rebounds Remains a Key Consideration

Looking upwards, the $90 level could emerge as a target that traders eventually set their sights on. Despite this potential upward drive, it's worth acknowledging that we have encountered a degree of overextension in the short term. Consequently, this retracement may serve as an opportunity for market participants to capitalize on value and sustain their involvement in broader market trends.

However, if a breach beneath the 200-Day EMA materializes, it could pave the way for a more profound correction. Presently, though, we are not on the brink of such a scenario. Thus, it appears that the current phase entails the market adjusting and rectifying some of its previous momentum. Eventually, this correction is likely to subside, and the market will demonstrate signs of rejuvenation.

In conclusion, recent market movements within the WTI Crude Oil and Brent domains offer a glimpse into the complexities of the energy sector. The retreat in prices is balanced by the strategic presence of support levels and ongoing market dynamics. As the market navigates these fluctuations, the potential for rebounds remains a key consideration, alongside the broader influences such as OPEC's actions and the strength of the US dollar. These elements collectively shape the outlook for these oil markets, creating a landscape marked by both challenges and opportunities.

WTI Crude OilBrent Crude Oil

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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