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Gold Forecast: Continues to Chop Sideways

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

You may wish to closely monitor the US dollar's performance, as it often exhibits a negative correlation with gold. 

  • Gold markets exhibited choppy behavior during Monday's trading session, with prices hovering around the crucial 50-Day Exponential Moving Average.
  • This technical indicator holds considerable significance for many traders, warranting close attention. Additionally, the psychological milestone of the $2000 level looms above, capturing the interest of market participants.
  • However, breaking through this level will likely require substantial momentum.

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The current short-term outlook remains choppy and sideways, demanding patience from investors seeking an upward trend. To the upside, potential support can be found around the $1950 level, with further reinforcement from the 200-Day EMA positioned below. Presently, the $1900 level acts as a firm floor, but a breach below this level could signal a significant trend change.

While there has been a recent pullback, buyers seem eager to support the market, evident as we observe fluctuations around the 50-Day EMA. Crossing above the Friday candlestick's high opens up the possibility of reaching the $2000 level. However, this journey may not be without challenges, as volatility could increase, making it prudent for traders to maintain reasonable position sizes.

From a technical analysis perspective, the market's current pattern might resemble a "bullish flag," suggesting the potential for further upward momentum. Nevertheless, it is essential to exercise caution, considering the volatility in the gold market. In other words, don’t jump “all in” right away. This gets chopped up in this environment.

Traders Should be Patient

You may wish to closely monitor the US dollar's performance, as it often exhibits a negative correlation with gold. However, this correlation is not absolute and can diverge, particularly during times when investors seek safe-haven assets. So be aware of any panic or major negativity in the overall attitude of traders in the near term. The psyche is one of the possible movers of this market.

In the end, navigating the gold market at present requires a careful approach, given its choppy nature and proximity to key technical levels. The 50-Day EMA and the $2000 level hold significant importance, influencing short-term price movements. Traders should exercise patience and remain vigilant while considering potential support levels and maintaining reasonable position sizes. Technical analysis points to a possibility of further upward momentum, but it is crucial to keep an eye on the US dollar's behavior for added context. As always, conducting thorough research and staying informed about market developments will be crucial for successful trading in the gold market.

Gold

Ready to trade today’s Gold prediction? Here’s a list of some of the best XAU/USD brokers to check out.

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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