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TRY/USD Forecast: Unemployment Rose Slightly

By Amir Issa
Economic editor , more than 12 years experience in the global financial markets and in the field of currency and metals trading. I supervised on many sites related to investment, finance and training in the field of forex and global exchanges.

The price is moving above the moving averages 50, 100, and 200 on the daily time frame, as well as on the four-hour time frame, while the pair is trading between these moving averages on the 60-minute time frame in a sign of divergence in the short term. 

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Today's recommendation on the TRY/USD

The risk is 0.50%.

Best buying entry points

  • Entering a buy order pending order from the 26.50 level.
  • Place a stop loss point to close below the 26.25 level.
  • Move the stop loss to the entry area and follow the profit when the price moves by 50 pips.
  • Close half of the contracts with a profit equal to 70 pips and leave the rest of the contracts until the strong resistance levels at 27.50.

Best-selling entry points

  • Entering a sell order pending order from the 27.50 level.
  • The best points to place a stop loss close to the highest level of 27.65.
  • Move the stop loss to the entry area and follow the profit when the price moves by 50 pips.
  • Close half of the contracts with a profit equal to 70 pips and leave the rest of the contracts until the support level at 26.50.

The USD/TRY stabilized, trading near new all-time highs. Investors followed data issued by the Turkish Statistics Authority early this morning, which revealed a rise in unemployment rates during the month of June, by 0.1 percent, to reach 9.6 percent.

Meanwhile, reports were published about the meeting of the Turkish Minister of Finance, Mehmet Simsek, and the governor of the country's Central Bank, Hafiza Ghaya Arkan, with about 50 investors from outside the country during the Turkish Economic Forum. Turkish officials presented a presentation of the Turkish economy in conjunction with separate meetings with representatives of those companies, the most prominent of which was JP Morgan, Black Rock Group, and others, with the aim of attracting larger investments to the country.

The efforts of the monetary and fiscal policymakers in the country come at a time when the economy is going through not good conditions of high inflation and a decline in the volume of foreign exchange. In conjunction with an increase in the current account deficit, in conjunction with the escalation of pessimistic expectations about the price of the lira in the future, as well as the return of pessimistic expectations of inflation rates according to the expectations made Issued by the Central Bank of Turkey.

TRY/USD Technical Analysis

On the technical front, without major changes, the dollar pair against the Turkish lira recorded stability in the same limited trading range near its highest levels recorded during the past week, as the pair traded around the level of 27 lira per dollar, the pair is currently trading in a mixed manner for the third week in a row.

 If the pair rises, it will target the resistance levels that are concentrated at 27.50 and 28.00, respectively, but if the pair declines, it will target the support levels that are concentrated at 26.50 and 26.00, respectively.

The price is moving above the moving averages 50, 100, and 200 on the daily time frame, as well as on the four-hour time frame, while the pair is trading between these moving averages on the 60-minute time frame in a sign of divergence in the short term. The Turkish currency is expected to record some decline, especially if the pair breaks the upper border of the rectangle that the pair is trading inside. Please adhere to the figures in the recommendation, while maintaining capital management.

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Amir Issa
About Amir Issa
Economic editor , more than 12 years experience in the global financial markets and in the field of currency and metals trading. I supervised on many sites related to investment, finance and training in the field of forex and global exchanges.
 

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