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USD/JPY Forecast: Sees Gains Amid Short-Term Consolidation

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

Considering the current strength of the US dollar and the prevailing market conditions, it appears improbable that this currency pair will experience a notable pullback.

  • During Tuesday's trading session, the USD/JPY displayed some strength, rallying past the ¥142.50 level and nearing ¥143.50.
  • However, it's worth noting that the currency pair is currently at the upper boundary of a short-term consolidation area, which might prompt a slight pullback.
  • Despite this, many traders view any potential dip as a buying opportunity due to the positive swap offered by this currency pair, making it an attractive option for longer-term positions.

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In the event of a short-term pullback, the ¥141.75 level is expected to offer robust support, along with the rising 50-Day Exponential Moving Average. This critical area is closely watched by market participants, with the ¥138 level below, which previously acted as a significant resistance level, now transforming into a major support level. Given these factors, it is unlikely that the market will experience a substantial decline, making it an unfavorable environment for selling.

Furthermore, traders are advised to monitor the 200-Day EMA, which coincides with the ¥138 level. This technical indicator carries significant weight in the market and could impact price movements.

Looking ahead, the ¥145 level is an essential resistance point, having previously exhibited strong barriers to upward movement. If the market manages to breach this level, it could signal a potential breakout, opening the door to significant upside potential. In such a scenario, traders might target the ¥150 level as a longer-term objective.

Markets Should Closely Monitor Critical Levels

The dynamics of this currency pair are largely influenced by the actions of the Bank of Japan, which continues to implement substantial quantitative easing measures. As a result, the value of the Japanese yen is impacted, leading to the observed trend in the chart.

Considering the current strength of the US dollar and the prevailing market conditions, it appears improbable that this currency pair will experience a notable pullback. Additionally, the probability of a significant sell-off is low. Traders are thus advised to approach the market with a bullish bias, targeting potential resistance levels and carefully observing the Bank of Japan's policies for any potential shifts in market dynamics.

At the end of the day, the US dollar demonstrated strength against the Japanese yen during Tuesday's trading session, with the currency pair approaching the upper boundary of a short-term consolidation area. Despite the possibility of a minor pullback, the overall outlook remains positive, with short-term support levels and the positive swap making it an appealing market for buyers. Market participants should closely monitor critical levels, such as the ¥145 resistance, which could trigger substantial upside potential. Furthermore, keeping abreast of the Bank of Japan's actions will be vital in navigating the intricacies of this currency pair.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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