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USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Eyes Upside Potential Amidst BoJ Quantitative Easing

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

As the market sentiment remains optimistic for the USD, the prospects of a major sell-off seem highly unlikely in the foreseeable future. 

  • The USD/JPY exhibited a noteworthy rally during the Tuesday trading session, breaking above the crucial ¥142.50 level, and approaching the ¥143.50 level.
  • However, as the currency pair finds itself at the pinnacle of a short-term consolidation zone, a slight pullback might be on the horizon.
  • Despite this, investors should perceive this as a promising buying opportunity, given the market's favorable swap rate, which holds significance over the long run.

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Any short-term pullbacks now are met with substantial support near the ¥141.75 level. Additionally, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average lies beneath, ascending with prominence. This region will undoubtedly attract considerable attention from traders, and further below, at the ¥138 level, which had previously acted as a major resistance, is now anticipated to serve as a crucial support level. As of now, it seems unlikely that the market will witness a breakdown below this level anytime soon, and thus, selling pressure remains restrained.

The ¥145 level is a critical threshold to observe, as it has historically presented formidable resistance. A breakthrough above this level would likely pave the way for a substantial upward movement. In such an event, the market could have its sights set on the ¥150 level, representing the longer-term target for USD strength against the yen.

Traders Should Be Cautious

The Bank of Japan continues to implement an extensive quantitative easing program, which inevitably exerts downward pressure on the value of the Japanese yen. This policy action aligns well with the prevailing chart patterns, as the US dollar showcases its strength throughout the trading session. The dynamics at play have resulted in the current favorable conditions for USD/JPY traders.

As the USD/JPY currency pair demonstrates a strong bullish momentum, traders should closely monitor key support and resistance levels. While a short-term pullback may be plausible, it presents a buying opportunity, especially considering the positive swap rates. The Bank of Japan's persistent quantitative easing measures further fuel the USD's strength against the yen. A break above the ¥145 resistance could trigger a significant move upwards, with a potential longer-term target at the ¥150 level. As the market sentiment remains optimistic for the USD, the prospects of a major sell-off seem highly unlikely in the foreseeable future. As always, traders should exercise caution and employ prudent risk management strategies when engaging in financial markets.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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