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Crude Oil Forecast: Oil Markets Surge Amid Supply Concerns

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

Unless demand contracts or supply increases substantially, the bullish outlook for this market is expected to persist.

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Crude oil markets witnessed another robust rally during Friday's trading session, driven by persistent concerns over supply constraints. Furthermore, the Russians have now determined that they will ban exports of diesel due to the upcoming wheat harvest. This cannot but have ripple effects throughout the entire energy sector. The markets will continue to look for higher levels, but also will continue to see a lot of volatility.

West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Market

  • The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market displayed significant gains on Friday as traders continued to fret about supply shortages.
  • This sentiment has been underpinned by production cuts from major players like Saudi Arabia and Russia, which have significantly impacted the market.
  • Moreover, crude oil tends to perform well in an inflationary environment, as investors seek refuge in tangible assets rather than currency.

The pivotal $90 level carries substantial psychological significance, bolstering the belief that the market is poised for further upward movement. While a short-term pullback remains a possibility, it is likely to be perceived as an opportunity for market participants to engage. Presently, the focus is on the broader uptrend, with a view toward higher prices in the future.

WTI Crude Oil chart

Brent Crude Oil Market

  • Brent markets have also demonstrated a notable upward surge, indicating the potential to breach the $95 level.
  • Given current conditions, traders are on the lookout for buying opportunities, shorting this market make an unattractive prospect.
  • Buying pressure consistently emerges whenever minor dips occur, further cementing the notion that selling is not a viable strategy.

In this context, it is prudent to acknowledge that while a significant drop is possible, the $90 mark appears to be the lower limit for the foreseeable future. The ultimate target for Brent could extend to $100 or even higher. Consequently, momentum is expected to build over time. However, caution is advised, and value-based opportunities should be seized when they arise. This approach is widely adopted by professionals in the current market environment.

Brent Crude Oil chart

In conclusion, crude oil markets are surging due to ongoing concerns about supply limitations. The WTI Crude Oil and Brent markets both reflect this sentiment, with the potential for further gains in the future. The $90 level is a significant psychological marker, and market participants are keen to exploit any dips. Unless demand contracts or supply increases substantially, the bullish outlook for this market is expected to persist.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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