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EUR/USD Forecast: Looks for Direction

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

One thing's for sure: market unpredictability is likely to stick around. 

  • Last Monday, concerns regarding the euro's stability took the spotlight.
  • The financial circles were abuzz, largely due to increasing talks about inflation. It's a bit like a cloud hanging over the market, especially when we talk about the 200-day Exponential Moving Average.
  • If we manage to cross this benchmark, it would be a notable achievement, signaling brighter days. However, the trend seems to suggest that there might be more sellers stepping in.

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If the euro slips below the 1.07 mark, there's a chance it might head towards the 1.05 level. With a bit of luck, if it breaks the 200-day EMA, there's potential for it to reach the 50-day EMA or maybe even hit that 1.10 mark everyone's been talking about. Right now, the smart move seems to be to tread carefully and keep an eye out for short-lived chances to benefit from any market upticks.

It's hard not to notice Germany's economic hiccups, which have been lingering for a while. Meanwhile, over in the United States, they're wrestling with their own inflation issues. This inflation scenario is critical, influencing the Federal Reserve's every move concerning its financial strategies. There's also chatter about trading volumes picking up, especially as the big players get back in the game after their summer breaks. This could give a clearer picture of where the market is really at.

Market Unpredictability is Likely to Stick Around

One thing's for sure: market unpredictability is likely to stick around. It's wise to see the bigger picture and not get too caught up in the day-to-day swings. As trading picks up post-summer, don't expect things to be smooth sailing. The US dollar seems set to flex its muscles against other currencies, and the euro might just feel the heat. While this shift might take its sweet time, all signs suggest that the US dollar is gearing up for some strong moves in the coming weeks or even months.

To wrap it up, the euro's position is looking a bit shaky right now, mostly because of the growing inflation worries. There's this buzz about possibly breaking the 200-day EMA, but the focus should be on short-term opportunities and filtering out unnecessary noise. With the US dollar strengthening its stance against several currencies, including the euro, it's something that traders should keep a close watch on in the near future.

EUR/USD

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Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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