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GBP/JPY Forecast: Continues to Fight the Yen

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

Drawing attention to technical indicators, the presence of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around the ¥183 level underscores its significance. 

  • The GBP/JPY embarked on a compelling journey against the Japanese yen during Tuesday's trading session, initially showing weakness before swiftly reversing course to exhibit robust bullish momentum.
  • The Japanese yen's decline against multiple currencies translated to a similar fate for the British pound. In this context, the market's determination is evident, striving to breach the ¥187 level situated close to recent highs.
  • Short-term setbacks continue to present buying opportunities, with the ¥183 level serving as a significant support threshold. While near-term volatility is expected, the prevailing long-term uptrend maintains its hold, making a sudden shift seem unlikely.

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Drawing attention to technical indicators, the presence of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around the ¥183 level underscores its significance. This widely monitored marker is likely to attract substantial interest. If a downward move materializes and extends below this level, the ¥180 mark emerges as another potential support zone. It is worth considering that the British pound benefits from an interest rate differential that generally favors it against the Japanese yen and many other currencies. Consequently, yen-related pairs tend to share directional movements due to this influencing factor.

Avoid Selling this Market

Taking a stance against selling this market, an inclination towards viewing pullbacks as potential buying opportunities is apparent. Given the Bank of Japan's stance on interest rates, which remains relatively unchanged, there is limited reason to anticipate a shift in trajectory. While a bullish sentiment prevails, it's prudent to acknowledge that market dynamics can occasionally turn challenging. Navigating these fluctuations necessitates caution and a balanced approach to decision-making.

In the event of a breakout above recent highs, the anticipated path involves the pair's pursuit of the ¥190 level, possibly extending its ascent further to reach the ¥200 level over the long term. However, the journey to these milestones is bound to encompass periodic volatility and fluctuations that warrant careful consideration. Consequently, while maintaining a bullish outlook, it's advisable to remain vigilant and refrain from overly aggressive strategies.

In conclusion, the British pound's recent performance against the Japanese yen has been marked by its resilience and bullish momentum. The yen's broader decline has influenced this trend, propelling the pound upwards. While specific support levels and technical markers guide market analysis, the overriding theme remains bullish due to the British pound's favorable interest rate differential. Navigating this trend involves approaching pullbacks with a buying perspective, even as the Bank of Japan's policy maintains stability. Ultimately, the British pound's trajectory is defined by the ongoing interplay of market forces and the potential for continued upward momentum.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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