Start Trading Now Get Started
Affiliate Disclosure
Affiliate Disclosure DailyForex.com adheres to strict guidelines to preserve editorial integrity to help you make decisions with confidence. Some of the reviews and content we feature on this site are supported by affiliate partnerships from which this website may receive money. This may impact how, where and which companies / services we review and write about. Our team of experts work to continually re-evaluate the reviews and information we provide on all the top Forex / CFD brokerages featured here. Our research focuses heavily on the broker’s custody of client deposits and the breadth of its client offering. Safety is evaluated by quality and length of the broker's track record, plus the scope of regulatory standing. Major factors in determining the quality of a broker’s offer include the cost of trading, the range of instruments available to trade, and general ease of use regarding execution and market information.

Crude Oil Forecast: Sees Upward Volatility Amidst Geopolitical Concerns

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

In summary, the crude oil market experienced a significant rally, with West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil and Brent (UK Oil) both displaying notable price movements. 

The crude oil market witnessed a significant rally during Friday's trading session, marked by a persistent streak of noisy fluctuations. Hang on to your hats, things are getting difficult.

Top Forex Brokers

1
Get Started 74% of retail CFD accounts lose money Read Review
 

In the case of West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil (US Oil), prices surged notably, testing the upper boundary of the recent consolidation range. This remarkable uptrend could be attributed to various factors, such as concerns over escalating violence in the Middle East or a potential tightening of the supply. However, it is essential to recognize that this market exhibits considerable volatility, demanding a cautious approach in determining your position size.

A key price level to watch closely is the $87 region. A decisive breakthrough beyond this point could potentially trigger a substantial upward movement in the market. It's worth noting that the region between the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 50-day EMA has provided significant support. This area often confirms prevailing trends, making it a crucial zone to monitor. Conversely, if the market were to breach the 200-day EMA to the downside, it would signify a notably bearish signal.

In the case of Brent (UK Oil), Friday's trading session witnessed a bullish upswing, characterized by frequent fluctuations. The market currently hovers around the 50-Day EMA, a widely followed technical indicator. This suggests the likelihood of continued choppiness in the near term. However, breaking above the critical $87 level could set the stage for further gains, potentially reaching levels such as $90 or even $95.

Be Vigilant

  • It is important to exercise caution when trading in this market due to its inherent noise and unpredictability.
  • Currently, selling crude oil does not seem advisable, given the resilience displayed by buyers.
  • Moreover, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add another layer of complexity and danger, contributing to substantial volatility in the oil market.

In summary, the crude oil market experienced a significant rally, with West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil and Brent (UK Oil) both displaying notable price movements. The $87 level remains a crucial determinant of future price action, while the 200-day EMA and 50-day EMA offer key support. Despite the ongoing fluctuations and choppiness, caution is advised, especially considering the influence of geopolitical factors on oil prices. Traders should remain vigilant and massage their positions accordingly in this dynamic and uncertain volatility in all markets, but especially around the oil markets.

WTI Crude Oil

Brent Crude Oil

Ready to trade WTI Crude Oil FX? We’ve shortlisted the best Forex Oil trading brokers in the industry for you.

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

Most Visited Forex Broker Reviews