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Crude Oil Forecast: Looks Bullish Despite the Pullback

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

Despite the inherent noise in this market, a bullish sentiment prevails. 

  • The crude oil markets witnessed a significant dip during Monday's trading session.
  • However, despite this drop, there are clear signs that buyers are still in control, with potential for further gains ahead. In fact, all it would take is a few bad headlines coming out of the Middle East to kick a big move higher off.
  • However, there is a lot of noise that the market is trying to work off, as markets cannot go in one direction forever.

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The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil market experienced an initial decline on Monday, reflecting some hesitation among traders. Nevertheless, it's evident that the buyers hold sway, pushing the market toward higher levels. The $90 resistance level stands as a short-term obstacle, but a breakthrough could lead to a move towards $95.

In the event of a breakdown below the lowest point of the candlestick, the market might target the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average near the $85 level in the futures market. If the bearish momentum persists, the 200-Day EMA could come into play. However, it's challenging to foresee a prolonged oil price decline, given ongoing tensions in the Middle East and the inflationary pressures driving fuel prices higher.

Traders Should Remain Vigilant

The Brent markets also experienced a slight retreat early in Monday's trading session. Nevertheless, a swift rebound demonstrates the market's resilience. If conditions remain stable, the market is poised to test the $95 level, which it recently pulled back from. A breakthrough beyond this point could propel Brent towards the coveted $100 level. Conversely, a decline below $90 may lead to a test of the 50-Day EMA.

Despite the inherent noise in this market, a bullish sentiment prevails. Short-term pullbacks present opportunities to acquire oil at more favorable prices. Unless there is a significant shift in Middle East dynamics, which appears unlikely in the short term, pullbacks should be viewed as potential buying opportunities in a robust market.

In the end, both WTI Crude Oil and Brent markets have shown resilience in the face of recent fluctuations. While short-term obstacles exist, buyers are expected to continue driving the market upward. The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistent inflationary pressures are factors that could support higher oil prices in the near future. As such, traders should remain vigilant for potential buying opportunities amidst the market's noise and fluctuations.

Brent Crude OilWTI Crude Oil

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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