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Gold Forecast: Looks for Its Next Move

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

. This is a market that must first demonstrate its hand before traders can make calculated moves.

  • The gold market exhibited an intriguing pattern during Tuesday's early trading hours, initially experiencing a slight pullback before staging a recovery that brought signs of life back into the arena.
  • This volatile dance on the charts has positioned the market at a critical juncture, right at the apex of a major triangle from which it previously broke down.

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The implications of this setup are significant. Should the market choose to ascend from this point, it's quite likely that we'll witness a fervent push toward the $1775 level, with the ultimate goal being the coveted $2000 mark.

However, it's crucial to note that the market currently hovers just above the 200-Day Exponential Moving Average, a technical indicator that often exerts a bit of pressure. This EMA could serve as a support zone, preventing a freefall. Yet, a breach below the 200-Day EMA could open the door to a descent towards the $1900 level, and in the event of a more substantial decline, there exists the possibility of filling the gap in the futures contract.

In recent sessions, the market has displayed a bullish inclination, but the last few candlesticks reveal a hesitation, a pause for reflection, as it were. This stasis is often a precursor to a significant market move. The burning question, of course, is the direction of that move. Will it be an upward surge or a downward retreat? The answer remains elusive, and traders find themselves in a holding pattern, waiting for the scales to tip definitively one way or the other.

Pay Attention to Interest Rates

Patience is indeed the virtue of the day. This is a market that must first demonstrate its hand before traders can make calculated moves. The bond markets, notably the interest rates in the United States, hold the keys to this enigma. A resurgence in interest rates could undermine gold's value, while a decline in rates might propel gold higher.

In the end, the gold market currently resides in a state of flux, with an impending sense of anticipation. Traders must remain vigilant, their fingers on the pulse of the bond markets, and their eyes trained on the charts. The moment of momentum resurgence will signal the time to act, and until then, it's a waiting game, with the fate of gold hanging in the balance.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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