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BTC/USD Forecast: Will Bitcoin Continue to Rally?

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

In the end, Bitcoin's journey is marked by significant levels at $40,000, $45,000, and potentially $47,500 and $50,000, each holding their own importance in terms of technical and psychological impact. 

  • Bitcoin's recent trading activity has been a topic of much interest, especially during Thursday's session. The cryptocurrency displayed a mix of ups and downs, indicating a bullish trend yet hinting at a possible consolidation phase after its significant upward journey.
  • A key point of observation is the 20-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which currently aligns with the $40,000 mark. This level is not only a notable support point due to the EMA but also because of its psychological significance. The $40,000 threshold, a round figure, has previously acted as a crucial pivot point, influencing market reactions upon its breach.

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Looking upwards, the $45,000 level emerges as another significant milestone. Similar to the $40,000 mark, this too is a round figure that holds psychological importance and has previously acted as a resistance point in the market. Surpassing this level could pave the way towards $47,500, a target that has historical relevance and has previously witnessed considerable selling pressure. A breakthrough above $47,500 could further extend Bitcoin's rally, potentially reaching the $50,000 landmark.

Central Banks and BTC

The market's current dynamics seem to be largely influenced by anticipations regarding central banks' monetary policies. There's a growing belief that these institutions might adopt a more lenient approach, which traditionally benefits Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency has often thrived under loose monetary conditions, and recent market trends suggest an expectation that central banks might ease their policies. This speculation has been a key driver in Bitcoin's recent movements.

However, the trajectory of Bitcoin is not without its uncertainties. The market remains sensitive to broader economic factors and any major shift towards a 'risk-off' sentiment could potentially disrupt this upward trend. Such events could trigger a reverse in Bitcoin's gains, demonstrating the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets.

In the end, Bitcoin's journey is marked by significant levels at $40,000, $45,000, and potentially $47,500 and $50,000, each holding their own importance in terms of technical and psychological impact. The market's reaction to central banks' monetary policies remains a critical factor in determining Bitcoin's future movements. Yet, as with any investment in crypto space, unpredictability and sensitivity to global economic sentiments continue to play a major role. Furthermore, the market is likely to see a lot of questions asked of it. This market needs a lot of risk taking by traders to continue going higher – but with the Fed easing next year, it makes sense that BTC rallies longer-term.

BTC/USD

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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