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Crude Oil Forecast: Rallies Again

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil market witnessed a significant rally during Wednesday's trading session.

  • The Crude Oil markets experienced a surge in trading activity on Wednesday, encountering a formidable resistance barrier that has traders on edge.
  • This development in the oil market has raised questions about the future direction of prices and the potential impact on global energy markets.

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WTI Crude Oil

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil market witnessed a significant rally during Wednesday's trading session. It encountered a major obstacle at the $75 level, a historical pivot point. Adding to the challenge is the presence of the 50-Week Exponential Moving Average above, which is likely to act as additional resistance.

While the market appears bullish, it's crucial to acknowledge the possibility of downward pressure in the near future. As liquidity exits the market, we may witness a slowdown in the rally. However, it's worth noting that short covering could also influence market dynamics. The current price range of $75 to $68 may signify an attempt to establish consolidation or an accumulation phase for the coming year.

WTI Crude Oil

Brent

In the Brent Crude Oil market, prices breached the $80 level during Wednesday's trading session, drawing closer to the 50-Day EMA. The market, much like its WTI counterpart, has been marked by volatile behavior. However, the recent surge appears to be overextending the market to the upside.

A pullback seems plausible, and the current momentum suggests that short covering has been a significant driver of recent price movements. Downward pressure may return as a notable factor in the market's direction. The loss of momentum, though potentially concerning in the short term, could indicate a period of consolidation.

An important support level to watch is the $72 mark, which has served as a significant price floor. Given the current situation, where prices hover around $80, the likelihood of continued downward pressure is evident.

In the end, the Crude Oil markets are navigating challenging terrain, encountering major resistance levels and experiencing periods of heightened volatility. Traders and investors should remain vigilant and consider the possibility of price corrections in the near term. As both the WTI and Brent markets seek stability, they may be in the process of establishing a foundation for future movements. The $75 and $80 levels remain crucial reference points, and market participants will closely monitor developments in the coming sessions to gauge the direction of crude oil prices.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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