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Precious Metals Forecast: Silver and Gold Break to New Highs

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

  • Gold is outperforming Silver, so traders should be more confident of being long of Gold than of Silver.
  • Gold is breaking to new record highs, while Silver has broken to a new 11-year high.
  • The best new trade opportunities which might set up today will likely be a long trade in Gold above the $2450 area or in Silver above $32.50.
  • Stock markets are mostly bullish, which is probably good news for further rises in Gold and Silver.

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Gold (XAU/USD): Technical Analysis

The price chart below shows that Gold is well established within a long-term bullish trend. Bulls can be excited and optimistic for several reasons:

  • The price has reached a new all-time high for the second consecutive day and is trading in blue sky, so has no obvious resistance levels to stop it except the high and round numbers above that.
  • Precious metals as an asset class are generally bullish, and Gold is showing more bullish short-term price action than Silver.
  • Stock markets are rising in most geos and there is generally risk-on bullish sentiment in the markets. These conditions have historically been correlated with a rising price of Gold.

After reaching a record high of $2450 just a few hours ago, the price made a small bearish retracement, but it is now rising again and is just a few Dollars off $2450.

Traders should consider entering a speculative long trade if the price gets established later today above $2450, which can usually be measured by two consecutive higher hourly closes above that level, without the second hourly candlestick having a significant upper wick.

Gold (XAU/USD) Hourly Price Chart 20/05

Key Support Levels:

  • $2355
  • $2336

Key Resistance Levels:

  • $2419
  • $2397
  • $2386

Silver (XAG/USD): Technical Analysis

The price chart below shows that Silver is well established within a long-term bullish trend. The price has been rising very strongly, and within the past few hours it reached $32.50 which is an 11-year high. There are several reasons to be bullish:

  • The price has reached a new 11-year high for the second consecutive day and is trading in blue sky, so has no obvious resistance levels to stop it except the high at $32.50 (which is also a half number) and round numbers above that.
  • Precious metals as an asset class are generally bullish, although Gold is showing more bullish short-term price action than Silver. Traders looking to go long here might consider being long of Gold instead of Silver, or being long of both, but overweight Gold.
  • Stock markets are rising in most geos and there is generally risk-on bullish sentiment in the markets. These conditions have historically been correlated with a rising price of Silver.

A few hours ago, the price made a relatively shallow retracement from the high at $32.50, printing new support at $31.62 where it made a bullish bounce. The price is now rising again.

Traders should consider entering a speculative long trade if the price gets established later today above $32.50, which can usually be measured by two consecutive higher hourly closes above that level, without the second hourly candlestick having a significant upper wick.

Traders who prefer to buy at bounces on support after dips could try to enter if we get another bullish bounce at the support level of $31.62 later today.

Silver (XAG/USD) Hourly Price Chart 20/05

Key Support Levels:

  • $28.02
  • $27.73
  • $27.47
  • $27.00

Key Resistance Levels:

  • $32.50
  • $33.00
  • $34.00

Ready to trade our precious metal price forecast? Check out our list of the best Gold brokers and the best Silver brokers worth trading with. 

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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