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CAC Forecast: Continues to Focus on €7900

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • The Parisian CAC fell significantly during the trading session on Tuesday, but he continues to see support in the same general vicinity, namely the €7900 level.
  • Because of this, I do think that we have a situation where traders will pay close attention to whether or not this level holds, as it is a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and of course it’s also an area that has already been tested multiple times.
  • That's the reason why I will be watching very closely.

CAC Forecast Today - 05/06: Focusing on €7900 (Chart)

Are We Still Range Bound?

I think at this point in time, the market is still trying to question whether or not we are range bound, and I do think that the next couple of sessions could be a pivotal turn of events for the market, and therefore we need to pay close attention to what happens next. Ultimately, this is a market that will have to make a decision, and the fact that we have the European Central Bank with an interest rate decision coming up in the next couple of days means that we are going to see a lot of noise. At this point in time, we could see some type of huge decision made, and once it’s made, we can put money to work.

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If we were to break down below the €7900 level, then the market could go falling toward the 200-Day EMA which is closer to the €7700 level. On the other hand, if we turn around a break above the 50-Day EMA, it could open up the possibility of a move to the €8250 level, an area that has previously been resistance, and therefore I think you need to look at that as the potential top of the overall range.

All things being equal, I think you continue to see a lot of noisy behavior of the next couple of sessions, and therefore I think you need to also look at it through the prism of whether or not we get any type of momentum. Ultimately, this is a market that will make a bigger decision soon, and I will be following which of her direction it breaks.

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Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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