Traders of the USD/RUB who continue to pursue downwards momentum in the currency pair and have the ability to be patient are likely finding successful outcomes.
- The USD/RUB is near the 88.8680 mark as of this writing, the currency pair however has flirted with the 88.5000 level a little while ago this morning.
- And yesterday’s lows for the USD/RUB touched the 88.2530 vicinity briefly. For all the tough talk from the U.S regarding sanctions on the Russian Ruble the currency pair continues to demonstrate a healthy correlation to the broad Forex market, which means the USD/RUB is finding places to transact.
Traders of the USD/RUB need to continue to practice patience with the currency pair to attain their targets, the movement demonstrated via fluctuations is rather choppy, but the ability to move lower and penetrate support levels since the 2nd of May is rather strong. Looking for downward momentum in the USD/RUB remains the tendency. Traders looking to take advantage of the trend in the USD/RUB, need solid risk taking tactics which includes take profit orders and to use conservative leverage.
U.S Economic Correlations and USD Centric Outlook
Global financial institutions are leaning towards a weaker USD as the U.S has published economic data which is showing signs of weakness regarding growth; also inflation has begun to display some erosion. The U.S will issue important jobs numbers this Friday and this will affect behavioral sentiment in financial institutions more and certainly impact the USD/RUB. Traders of the USD/RUB likely either feel they have inside knowledge of the Russian Ruble or are pure speculators.
From a speculative viewpoint, the weakness of the USD in the broad Forex market the past month has helped the USD/RUB stumble lower. Traders of the currency pair should use quick hitting tactics with entry price demands, stop loss and take profit orders to take advantage of the choppiness in the USD/RUB. Because the known volume of the currency pair doesn’t appear to be gigantic, prices can move quickly, but the trend lower is enticing.
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USD/RUB and Federal Reserve Interest Rate Rhetoric
The coming next couple of days in the USD/RUB may remain choppy with tests of support and sudden moves higher. If the U.S jobs numbers are worse than expected this could fuel additional selling of the USD/RUB. However it is next Wednesday’s U.S Fed FOMC Statement most traders are going to be thinking about, because the Fed is expected to take on a more dovish tone.
- The question is if USD weakness has already been priced into Forex via speculative positioning. USD/RUB should remain realistic and not get overly ambitious as they wager on the currency pair while looking for lower depths.
- The bearish momentum in the currency pair has been strong, but traders may also want to try to take advantage of support levels being hit and look for quick hitting reversals upwards to profit.
USD/RUB Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 88.9590
Current Support: 88.7640
High Target: 89.3475
Low Target: 88.4500
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