The USD/ILS has put itself into position for potentially fast speculative trading days for those pursuing the currency pair, this as the 3.66400 level has been seen this morning with quick price action.
- The broad Forex market and the USD/ILS currency pair have seen fast price action early this morning, this as financial institutions are positioning ahead of the U.S Gross Domestic Product reports today.
- The Advance GDP growth number and the GDP Price Index which is a key inflation guide will impact the markets today, including Forex and the USD/ILS is within the middle of its five day price range as it awaits the outcomes from the publications.
- The USD/ILS is near 3.66400 now with lighting fast movement.
On Tuesday of this week the USD/ILS moved to the 3.61325 level but then reversed higher. Last week’s lows which flirted with the 3.60000 and 3.61000 may continue to be targets for some speculators, but they should be careful and willing to cash out winning positions when they emerge. The USD/ILS continues to produce a whirlwind of fast results with price velocity for speculators. USD centric outlooks appear to be the main impetus for the currency pair.
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Israel Economy and U.S Correlations
The move higher in the USD/ILS since Tuesday’s lows show that caution exists within financial institutions which are likely waiting for additional U.S economic data to show weakness before they pursue heavier selling. The Israel economy remains challenged due to the ongoing war and Israeli consumers have been hit by inflation. However, U.S data such as today’s growth numbers from the GDP will be a large factor in the USD/ILS.
The USD/ILS has been able to generate a rather solid bearish trend, but it has not been a one way street. Speculators need to understand the correlation between U.S data and the USD/ILS remains strong. Only if the outlook of financial institutions includes a lowering of the U.S Federal Funds Rate will USD/ILS sustain lower price momentum in the coming days and weeks.
Last Week’s USD/ILS Lows May Have Been Too Exuberant
The ability of the USD/ILS to trade lower in the past two weeks is noteworthy and a healthy sign for the Israeli Shekel, but the selling may have been too exuberant and financial institutions have demonstrated in the broad Forex market that some USD centric bearish selling may have been too fast.
- The ability of the USD/ILS to produce reversals higher since last week is a warning sign for traders who simply want to bet on lower moves.
- U.S economic data today will have to be weaker via the growth and inflation numbers to spur another solid round of selling.
- Choppy conditions will be seen before the GDP reports today and traders need serious risk management to make sure they are protected.
USD/ILS Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 3.66300
Current Support: 3.65600
High Target: 3.67450
Low Target: 3.63100
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