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USD/RUB Analysis: Choppy Conditions Hold and Enticing Support Targets

By Robert Petrucci
Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

The USD/RUB remains within a known range and has offered speculators an opportunity to wager on what has proven to be a reliable resistance level to seek lower moves.

USD/RUB Analysis Today - 02/07: Choppy, Enticing Targets (Chart)

  • The USD/RUB exchange rate is trading near the 88.4290 ratio as of this writing with its typical quick changes of value being demonstrated for speculative traders.
  • The USD/RUB is now challenging higher marks that were seen last Wednesday.
  • The USD/RUB is a rather lightly traded currency pair, but it does have enough volume to be an interesting wagering pursuit for experienced speculators.

Trading at the higher levels of the near-term technical range should be watched today and tomorrow because after touching the current values last week the USD/RUB then moved to lows that flirted with the 84.9000 levels on Thursday and Friday of last week. The ability of the USD/RUB to hit technical highs and reverse lower may prove tempting for some day traders.

USD/RUB Dangers and Risk Taking Tactics Need Consideration

The amount of transparent data for USD/RUB is hard to find. Day traders are largely in the dark about the reasons why the currency pair is moving in a particular direction. The inability to correlate the USD/RUB directly may feel difficult, but a look at mid and long-term charts suggests the Russian Ruble is affected by the global trends other major currencies teamed against the USD face.

The U.S will celebrate a holiday on the 4th of July, and institutional trading volumes globally will fall starting on Wednesday. While Forex trading will take place, the values displayed from tomorrow until the end of this week will be suspicious. However, this also opens the door for aggressive traders to potentially trade the USD/RUB and take advantage. Risk taking tactics will need to be used carefully.

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Near-Term Highs and Resistance as a Selling Signal

Traders who feel the need to speculate on the USD/RUB likely are risk takers as part of their character. The higher ratios being displayed in the currency pair over the past day, and in the middle of last week may make selling the USD/RUB attractive as a wager. The 89.0000 level was hit on the 24th of June and before this date; the USD/RUB was consistently around this value. The question now as the USD/RUB has incrementally climbed the past day is if the resistance level will prove durable or if the currency pair is going to start to straddle this price territory again and reestablish a higher value range.

  • Because of the U.S Independence Day holiday coming, traders should be careful of price range action over the near-term; this week’s values should be considered suspicious.
  • The USD/RUB has moved incrementally lower over the mid-term and its tests of lows last week may continue, but due to lighter trading volumes in the coming days, the lower price range may be difficult to establish short-term.

USD/RUB Short Term Outlook:

Current Resistance: 88.5100

Current Support: 88.2100

High Target: 89.5300

Low Target: 86.3900

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Robert Petrucci
About Robert Petrucci
Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.
 

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