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Nasdaq Forecast: Market at a Crucial Turning Point

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • During my analysis of the NASDAQ 100 on Tuesday, the first thing I noticed is that we are bouncing around an area that has been important more than once.
  • The 19,500 level has been both support and resistance.
  • Now that we are in this region, it suggests that we have a big decision to make.

Ultimately, this is a market that if we can bounce from here, it's likely that we could go look into the 20,000 level. The 20,000 level, of course, is an area that a lot of people will pay attention to as it is a large round psychologically significant figure. And therefore, it's good for headlines. If we break the 20,000 level, then I don't know that there's a whole lot to keep us from going to the highs again, a pullback from here more likely than not reaches towards the 50 day EMA, which sits right around the 19,300 level.

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Interest rates and Nonsense

Keep in mind that the NASDAQ 100 is highly sensitive to interest rates and people are banking on the Federal Reserve collapsing and cutting rates quite rapidly. The question of course is, can they do it without increasing inflation? Because inflation in America is still the biggest issue. At this point, I have been watching Wall Street try to convince itself that inflation is something that the plebs can deal with, and they can gamble with riskier companies. That being said, in the real world, its much more tough than that.

Nasdaq Forecast Today 28/8: Crucial Turning Point (graph)

It will be a very nuanced fight, but right now it looks like traders are trying to pick up the NASDAQ 100 and I would be much more comfortable getting long in this market than trying to sell it because quite frankly, there are far too many things out there that tend to influence this market higher. It's just the natural sort of things that we see where people just dollar cost average in. I think that's kind of the feeling here.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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