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GBP/NZD Forecast: Range-Bound, Eyes Breakout

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • During Thursday’s trading session, there has been a lot of back-and-forth movement around the 50-day EMA.
  • While the British pound has shown some strength, the New Zealand dollar has also been performing well.
  • This reflects a battle between two currencies that have both been strong for some time.  

This is a market that has been bouncing around between the 2.10 level on the bottom and the 2.14 level on the top. I think at this point in time, you have to watch very closely whether or not we can break out of this range, and it's probably a significant point to make here that we are right in the middle of that. The market will continue to see a lot of questions asked about the directionality, and therefore I think a lot of people are simply sitting on the sidelines, as we wait for some kind of decision being made.

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I Remain Neutral in General

So, I do remain somewhat neutral on this market, but I think in the longer term, we will still have plenty of upward momentum in general. I do think that the trend line comes into play here right around the 1.10 level as well, which also has a 200 day EMA sitting right around there.

GBP/NZD Forecast Today 27/9: Range-Bound (graph)

So, with all of this being the case, I think we've got a situation where you're probably favoring buying the dip or of course, buying a break above what, the ceiling at the 2.14 level. If we break down below the 200 day EMA, then the market could drop significantly, perhaps down to the 2.07 level. While I am neutral at the moment, I am looking for pullbacks perhaps to nibble at and get involved in this market to continue the overall uptrend.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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