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S&P 500 Forecast: Waiting for Momentum to Return

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • The S&P 500 has gapped to the upside during the early hours on Monday as we continue to see upward pressure.
  • That being said, the market is essentially just killing time at this elevated level, and therefore, I don't really read too much into it other than it's more of the same, somewhat sideways action.
  • This does make a certain amount of sense due to the fact that we have had such a bullish run this year, and we get tantalizingly close to a resolution to the US election cycle.

Keep in mind that this week features a non-farm payroll Friday, and that has a major influence on what happens with markets. Furthermore, we are in the midst of earnings season, so that also has a major influence as well. I don't have any interest whatsoever in trying to short this market. I think that pullbacks will end up being buying opportunities in this environment.

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I believe that the $5750 level could offer a certain amount of support due to the previous resistance level. Underneath, we also have the 5,650 level that could offer significant support. The 50-day EMA is hanging around in that area also, and therefore we have a lot of technical support. In general, this is a market that, as long as we continue to go back and forth, is essentially just going to grind away and work off a lot of the froth that we have put into this market.

S&P 500 Forecast Today 29/10: Waiting for Momentum (graph)

It Might Be Quiet Until Jobs Numbers Come Out on Friday

Between now and Friday, as each day progresses, we will probably see less and less momentum and probably more and more consolidation. The earning season, of course, has been a bit of a mixed bag, but it's a mixed bag any other time. So really at this point, I'm looking for some type of opportunity to pick up cheap contracts. That being said, value is always something that people will be paying close attention to.

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Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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