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USD/CAD Forecast: Eases Amid Profit-Taking

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • The US dollar has fallen a bit against the Canadian dollar during the trading session on Tuesday, as the world paid close attention to the US election.
  • That being said, I think the real driver here is probably people simply taking profit in a huge move to the upside.
  • This is somewhat uncommon for this pair, so this is something that we need to be paying attention to, as the markets continue to see a lot of questions asked about whether or not the move can continue.

The market rallied all the way from the 1.35 level to the 1.3950 level in the course of a couple of weeks. Keep in mind that oil markets are somewhat soft, but ultimately, they are bouncing due to the fact that we had been in a two-year range and at the bottom of it. So, with that being said, I think a pullback to the 1.3750 level, then we have a massive amount of support, not only due to the previous action, but the fact that the 50 day EMA comes into the picture as well.

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Value Hunters Will Still Influence This Pair

USD/CAD Today 06/11: Eases Amid Profit-Taking (graph)

In general, I think this is a situation where value hunters are going to come into this market center later. If we were to break above the 1.3950 level, then the market could go looking to the 1.40 level. The 1.40 is an area that is a large round psychologically significant figure, and if we can break above there then the market really could take off. However, this is a situation where the market has been very noisy overall, but I think ultimately this is a little bit of consolidation after a huge move to the upside. I still favor the upside. I just don't favor chasing it at these higher levels, which is a situation where the market is simply overdone overall.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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