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CAC Forecast: Continues to Consolidate Overall

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • The CAC rallied a bit during Parisian trading on Wednesday, but it looks like the €7,350 level continues to be a bit of a barrier.
  • This is an area that previously had been support, so a little bit of market memory comes into the picture. What I find interesting is that the 50-day EMA is starting to approach that same area, so it could be very difficult to overcome.
  • We formed a shooting star during the Tuesday session. The Wednesday session looks somewhat similar. So, if we do get a breakout, what that tells me is that there is a lot of resiliency to the upward momentum.
  • The volume is somewhat flat, but that's not a huge surprise. This is a market that will continue to see a lot of questions asked about it, but at this juncture, I think it is only a matter of time before we have to move.

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If We Break Higher

All things being equal, if we can clear the 7,400 euros level, I think at that point you'll see a short covering rally. And it's probably worth noting that the CAC is trying to form a bit of a double bottom based on the 7,100 euros level.

This is a market that will either go sideways for a while and kill time or it will break out to the upside for what it's worth. Its counterpart in Germany is straight up in the air like a rocket.

CAC Forecast Today - 5/12: Market Consolidates (Video)

So sooner or later, you would think that it might have a bit of a knock on effect, although obviously the French economy is much frailer than the German one right now. It does make a certain amount of sense that you would have some carryover from that market. A move below the 7,100 euros level could open up a move to the 7,000 euros level, but right now, I think we're in the process of trying to find the bottom for Paris.

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Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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