The price of WTI Crude Oil fell below 67.000 USD on Friday and remained below the value level going into the weekend, this as speculative buying is finding it hard to create upwards momentum.
- President-elect Donald Trump is still six weeks away from taking power of the White House, but it is evident that speculators in WTI Crude Oil are trading based on his incoming energy policy, which will be vastly different with President Joe Biden’s existing practices.
- The price of WTI Crude Oil fell below 68.000 USD early on Friday, then broke below 67.000 and closed near 66.780.
Traders looking for upside in WTI Crude Oil should have come to the conclusion the past couple of weeks that headwinds via the notion that Trump will allow U.S producers to operate fully has had a vast effect on the energy sector already. While looking for speculative wagers that reverse off of lows is intriguing as always, the perception needs to be a cautious one in WTI Crude Oil regarding its price range potential higher.
Reversal Higher Challenged 70.000 For a Moment
The 70.000 USD price was challenged
Crude Oil started last week near the 68.000 level and fought its way higher to 69.000. Then after sinking late in the day on Monday below the 68.000 USD mark, WTI Crude Oil began to incrementally climb and by Wednesday values above 70.000 USD were being seen. However, the upside didn’t last very long and downside momentum once again built speed, by Thursday the 69.000 ratio began to act as resistance and then selling intensified and 68.000 became vulnerable on Friday.
The lower depths of WTI Crude Oil are now within a price range that was a fertile trading ground during President Trump’s first term in the White House. Speculators in energy know the incoming White House is pro-active regarding U.S energy policy and this will definitely keep the lid on the potential of WTI Crude Oil suddenly exhibiting a sustained climb higher. Yes, reversals upwards will certainly be seen, but the ultimate task of retail traders is likely going to be a battle consisting of price range and predicting short and near-term fluctuations. A black swan event may have to happen to drive WTI Crude Oil higher now.
Trump Energy Policy and Mid-Term Outlook
WTI Crude Oil may in fact challenge the 70.000 to 72.000 price range above again. This could happen sooner than expected if large traders act in a unified buying surge, but trying to wager on this sustained momentum may be like spitting into the wind. The lower depths of WTI Crude Oil in the near-term must be looked at regarding support, and questions about vulnerability are important.
- The ability of WTI Crude Oil to go into the weekend below 67.000 is noteworthy.
- A range between 65.000 and 72.000 could still hold ground in speculators minds.
- The news from Syria which developed late this past week and into the weekend is not likely going to affect bearish sentiment.
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WTI Crude Oil Weekly Outlook:
Speculative price range for WTI Crude Oil is 65.300 to 69.600
The price of WTI Crude Oil maintaining lower values the past couple of weeks is not a surprise. The value of the commodity it must be pointed out was under pressure too before the results of the U.S election were known. The policy of the Trump administration however throws power into the notion the price of WTI Crude Oil will remain lower.
If the 67.000 continues to see trading below this ratio early this week, this could be an additional negative sign for Crude Oil. Large traders may believe speculative room exists to buy and try to create a slightly higher price, but if the 68.000 to 69.000 prices remain hard to attain this week, WTI Crude Oil may begin to create a new price range between the 65.000 to 68.000 window. Day traders should not get over confident about downwards momentum if they are pursuing selling positions. While the commodity does look under pressure it would be wise to pursue fast trades that cash out profits if they are made.
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