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Gold Analysis: Awaiting Key Events

By Mahmoud Abdallah
Mahmoud has been working fulltime in the Foreign Exchange markets for 12 years. Offers his analysis, articles and recommendations at the most renewed Arabic websites specialized in the global financial markets, and his experience gained a lot of interest among Arab traders. Works on providing technical analysis, market news, free signals and more with follow up for at least 12 hours a day, and aims to simplify forex trading and the concept of trading for his audience.
  • For six consecutive trading sessions, the gold price has been moving in narrow ranges and a neutral position with an upward trend, awaiting more stimulus.
  • Today, the gold price is stabilizing around $2,650 per ounce, cautiously awaiting statements from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and, at the end of the week, the announcement of US jobs figures.
  • All these events will clarify for financial markets and investors the future of US monetary policy in the coming months, especially with Trump's imminent takeover of the leadership of the world's largest economy.

Gold Analysis Today 04/12: Awaiting Key Events (graph)

The Global Gold Market Gains Luster

The demand for buying gold has increased recently, even with the gains of the US dollar, as investors consider gold a stronger safe haven. Recently, it has gained some momentum from the increasing political uncertainty in South Korea and France, in addition to the continued geopolitical tensions in the Middle East due to the Israeli wars in Gaza and Lebanon. Also, the concerns in Syria. On the European side, the Russian-Ukrainian war is still witnessing dangerous and ongoing developments. On the other hand, if global central banks continue to follow the pace of easing their monetary policies, it will be positive for the current gold prices.

US stock indices may witness stability

According to stock trading platforms, US stock futures are stabilizing today after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed at another record high in yesterday's trading. In after-hours trading, Salesforce shares jumped more than 10% after announcing third-quarter revenue that exceeded expectations. Yesterday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.05% and 0.4%, respectively, while the Dow Jones fell 0.17%.

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How did the US stock market affect?

The latest trading in US stock prices came as investors reacted to the results of the JOLTS data for October, which came stronger than expected, as US job opportunities rose by 372 thousand jobs to 7.74 million jobs. Meanwhile, the resignation rate rose to 2.1%, indicating worker confidence. In the same context, today the ADP private payrolls report and the US non-farm payrolls numbers will be announced on Friday, which are the official numbers that determine the future policies of the US Federal Reserve. In this regard, there will be statements today by the bank's governor, Jerome Powell.

Stability of the US Dollar Price Ahead of Important Data

According to reliable trading platforms, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the performance of the US currency against a basket of major currencies, stabilized around 106.4 today, Wednesday, ahead of important data and events that will clarify for investors and markets the future of US Federal Reserve policies this month and in the coming months. This cautious wait coincides with Trump's new leadership of the United States. The important and influential events of this week include statements from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, and at the end of the week, the announcement of US jobs figures. Ahead of this, financial markets are betting with a probability of approximately 75% that the Federal Reserve will cut US interest rates by 25 basis points this month.

Gold Price Technical Analysis Today:

According to the expectations of gold analysts today, technically, the general trend of the price of gold will remain upward. Now, the bulls' eyes are directed towards the psychological resistance of $ 2,700 per ounce to expect further gains. The move towards that peak will occur if the bulls succeed in first launching to the resistance levels of $ 2,666 and $ 2,685, respectively. Furthermore, we still adhere to the gold trading strategy by buying from every downward level without risking. To get gold signals and other free trading signals, follow the exclusive page while working on trading tips by not risking and activating profit and stop loss limit orders to ensure the safety of the trading account from any sudden price reversals.

 
Currently, the closest support levels for gold prices are $2633, $2620 and $2585 per ounce, respectively.

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Mahmoud Abdallah
About Mahmoud Abdallah
Mahmoud has been working fulltime in the Foreign Exchange markets for 12 years. Offers his analysis, articles and recommendations at the most renewed Arabic websites specialized in the global financial markets, and his experience gained a lot of interest among Arab traders. Works on providing technical analysis, market news, free signals and more with follow up for at least 12 hours a day, and aims to simplify forex trading and the concept of trading for his audience.
 

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