The NZD/USD is once again producing near-term lows as the 0.58500 level is attracting speculation, this as behavioral sentiment remains risk adverse in financial institutions and speculative outlooks try to take advantage of fast reversals.
The NZD/USD is trading near the 0.58515 ratio as of this writing after touching a low this morning around the 0.58325 mark. The ability of the NZD/USD to traverse depths has been a constant part of its trading the past couple of weeks. On the 26th of November the NZD/USD spiked to a depth of nearly 0.57985 level. Fast movement in the NZD/USD needs to be treated carefully.
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The NZD/USD remains within a battle in which support levels are being tested on a rather consistent basis. Reversals higher which have tried to claw back value for the New Zealand Dollar have faltered frequently when resistance has approached the 0.59000 level, though some occasional outliers testing the 0.59150 vicinity have been seen. Speculators who believe the NZD/USD is oversold need to remain patient because a sustained upwards movement may be hard to achieve in the short-term.
Behavioral Sentiment and U.S Jobs Data
Financial institutions remain skittish because mid-term outlooks are still murky. Risk adverse trading has translated into USD centric strength globally in Forex. Last week did see some upwards momentum generate on Thursday and Friday, but this might have been because of the absence of large U.S institutions because of the Thanksgiving holiday. The return of full volume has put more pressure on the NZD/USD.
U.S jobs data will be published this Friday but even if the employment numbers are weaker than expected the real impetus for the NZD/USD may come from nervousness surrounding changes to U.S economic trade policies via the incoming Trump administration. The bearish trend within the NZD/USD may feel like it is overdone, but it would be unwise to bet forcefully against the lower depths for the time being.
Technical Wagers and the NZD/USD
Because support levels have proven vulnerable in the NZD/USD this morning and are starting to come in sight of lows seen early last week, traders may want to continue to potentially look for further selling. The problem for speculators in the near-term is trying to measure how much more nervous sentiment can possibly come into the NZD/USD. Technical traders may find they actually enjoy an advantage in the current trading environment with the NZD/USD.
- Nervous conditions are likely to continue into Friday before the U.S Non-Farm Employment Change, and the lower range of the NZD/USD will likely see more tests..
- The 0.58500 mark should be watched today to see if trading starts to become sustained beneath the ratio, or if a spark of buying can maintain a higher stance above the mark.
NZD/USD Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 0.58560
Current Support: 0.58445
High Target: 0.58810
Low Target: 0.58325
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