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USD/ILS Analysis: Long-Term Depths Challenged and Lower Trading Range

By Robert Petrucci
Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

The USD/ILS has displayed the ability to challenge long-term lows as behavioral sentiment in financial institutions has taken on improved perspectives and the new price realm is getting tested.

USD/ILS Analysis Today -11/12: Range Hits Lows (Chart)

  • The USD/ILS is near the 3.59600 mark as of this writing with fast changes to value being displayed.
  • The currency pair has continued to display a positive attitude while creating bearish momentum which has been produced in incremental steps since October. The USD/ILS was trading near the 3.81100 level on the 23rd of October.
  • On this Monday the USD/ILS touched the 3.54800 vicinity, a value which the currency pair had not seen since March of this year.

Support levels around the 3.55000 ratio appear to be a touchstone for financial institutions trading the USD/ILS. This price level has essentially been a durable location since March of 2023, meaning that the currency pair was using this area as an inflection point even before the October 2023 war began. The ability of the USD/ILS to return to within sight of this important price level is intriguing and a solid accomplishment.

Support Levels and U.S Economic Data

While the USD/ILS now traverses below the 3.60000 level and shows the ability to sustain a range beneath this juncture, it signals that financial institutions are growing more confident about the Israeli Shekel. However, the support level of 3.55000 is looking everyone in the face technically. The 3.55000 to 3.60000 range should get speculators attention near-term.

The U.S will release vital inflation statistics today via the Consumer Price Index reports. The U.S Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision on the 18th of December. While a cut of 0.25 has already been factored into Forex, it is likely the USD/ILS from today’s inflation numbers will have an impact on mid-term outlook – particularly regarding the potential for another interest rate cut in January from the Fed.

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Speculative Opportunity and Risk Management in the USD/ILS

The Israeli economy still faces challenges as it deals with the Middle East conflict, but there are signs that optimistic viewpoints are starting to take hold and financial institutions are reflecting this change in sentiment. The USD/ILS has been a rather stable currency pair considering the past year which has created headwinds due to Israeli security and fiscal concerns.

  • The ability of the USD/ILS to return to lower depths which are in sight of important support ratios may prove attractive for speculators who decide to wager with selling positions if technical resistance is hit.
  • Today’s U.S CPI numbers will affect the USD/ILS later today and tomorrow.
  • If the currency pair maintains its lower price range near-term this may be bearish signal regarding outlook.

USD/ILS Short Term Outlook:

Current Resistance: 3.60020

Current Support: 3.59400

High Target: 3.61100

Low Target: 3.56900

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Robert Petrucci
Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

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