- The USD/SGD is near the 1.34425 ratio as of this writing.
- The currency pair has performed in a rather unique manner since hitting a low around the 1.33700 level on early Friday, buying action has taken hold again and yesterday’s high near 1.34900 was a reminder that nervous behavioral sentiment remains a factor.
- The absence of U.S financial institutions late last week seemed to have helped propel the USD/SGD lower.
The ability of the currency pair to climb yesterday and quickly reestablish near and mid-term highs should serve as a reminder to retail traders that mid-term outlooks, which are unclear, are still causing volatility. U.S jobs numbers will be presented this coming Friday, but for the past few weeks, in fact the past two months Forex including the USD/SGD have been ruled by nervous sentiment.
Short-Term Wagers and the USD/SGD Looking Ahead
Short-term sentiment in the USD/SGD will remain choppy. The potential of economic policy changes affecting the Forex landscape because of actions by President-elect Trump have financial institutions on edge. Perhaps day traders believe the financial institutions are being too cautious and have overbought the USD/SGD, but the problem is that it is the large financial institutions which control the outcome of Forex. Retail traders merely ride on the coattails of the big players.
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Looking for a sustained lower move in the USD/SGD remains dangerous. Traders who believe the USD/SGD is within territory that is too high and want to take advantage of downturns are still encouraged to look for wagers that use perceived technical resistance levels as they develop. Because the trend higher in the USD/SGD it may be enticing to consider lower moves which seemingly should develop, but timing the exact moment this will happen could be a costly gamble. Traders should look for nearby targets to profit and be happy with those results for the moment.
Fundamentals vs. Behavioral Sentiment in the USD/SGD
The USD/SGD may have a chance to return to impetus via U.S data later this week. However, because nervous sentiment remains so strong, financial institutions will have to be convinced that U.S Non-Farm Employment Change results are more important than the sometimes loud ambitions of President-elect Trump. The U.S Fed is expected to cut the U.S interest rate in mid-December by many.
- The fact the USD/SGD remains in higher ground even as a Federal Funds Rate cut is anticipated is curious and should make traders nervous too.
- Choppy conditions will likely remain the dominant feature of the USD/SGD near-term.
- While the 1.35000 level seems too high, below the 1.34000 mark for the time being may be too low.
Singapore Dollar Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 1.34475
Current Support: 1.34380
High Target: 1.34795
Low Target: 1.34210
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