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USD/CAD Forecast: USD Resilient Against CAD

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • You can see that during the early hours on Tuesday, we did continue some negativity in the US dollar against the Canadian dollar, but we have turned around quite a bit and are showing signs of resiliency.
  • This should not be a huge prize considering that the market has been in a strong uptrend, and it seems like there's nothing but chaos in Ottawa.
  • The Americans have a Donald Trump presidency coming, which will be very pro-business. The Canadians have parliament on hold until sometime in March, while the liberal party tries to get it together, only to lose to the conservatives in the prime minister role and probably across parliament. Canada will be a place that you want to invest in sooner or later.

But right now, it still looks very much up in the air. And as long as that's going to be the case, the Canadian dollar is going to be a little bit soft. Oil rising doesn't seem to be helping much.That does make sense in this USD/CAD pair at least due to the fact that the Americans produce more than enough of their own oil at this point. But demand rising probably makes the Canadian dollar a little bit more attractive against other currencies such as the Japanese yen, for example.

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1.45 Will Continue to Matter

USD/CAD Forecast Today 08/01: Resilient Against CAD (graph)

The 1.45 level above is still a significant psychological barrier that I think will be difficult to get above and truly break through, but that's what we're aiming for. Underneath we have the 1.42 level offering support, so that comes into the picture as well. Keep in mind that Friday has employment numbers coming out of both USA and Canada, so this could be a very volatile pair at the end of the week. Right now, though, it looks like it is trying to continue. It's somewhat of a positive momentum over the last two weeks or so as we face this major ceiling.

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Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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