- As predicted, gold selling did not last long, as global geopolitical tensions continue to provide a fertile environment for prices to rise again.
- This week, according to gold trading platforms, gold prices jumped to the resistance level of $2,943 per ounce, the highest in the history of gold prices.
- After that, gold prices were subject to profit-taking, but did not exceed the $2,863 per ounce level, and gold prices soon returned to rise again, settling around the resistance level of $2,902 per ounce at the time of writing this analysis, despite the strength of US inflation figures, which provided a positive boost to US dollar gains.
The strongest US dollar price after inflation reports
According to forex trading, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the performance of the US currency against a basket of other major currencies, rose to the resistance level of 108.50. Also, it gained more after the US Consumer Price Index report showed rising inflationary pressures and a halt to progress in curbing inflation. All measures came in above expectations, with the headline inflation unexpectedly rising to 3% and core inflation increasing to 3.3%.
On a monthly basis, the US CPI also rose 0.5%, the highest level since August 2023. Overall, the numbers reinforced the US Federal Reserve’s cautious approach to further rate cuts. Fed Chairman Powell this week told Congress that the Fed is in no rush to cut US interest rates. Furthermore, he reiterated the pledge from the last FOMC meeting in January, when the US central bank paused its rate-cutting cycle.
Overall, traders are now pricing in only a 25-basis point cut in the federal funds rate for December. Meanwhile, US President Trump reiterated his pledge to lower borrowing costs, posting on Truth Social that “interest rates need to go lower, which will go hand in hand with the tariffs coming!!! Let’s dance, America!!!”
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Trading Tips:
The gold buying strategy will remain the strongest and may continue for some time as long as the US administration is determined to raise global concerns, and gold is one of the most important safe havens for investors in times of uncertainty.
Will gold prices rise in the coming days?
Keep in mind that the continuation of global geopolitical tensions and more gold bullion purchase deals by global central banks and the easing of their monetary policy will strengthen the gold market and the demand for gold bullion will remain stronger, which will support gold price movements to new record high levels. All eyes are on the $3,000 per ounce peak. Don’t forget, dovish central banks elsewhere and rising demand for safety have kept gold prices more than 10% higher since the beginning of 2025.
Gold Price Technical Analysis and Expectations Today:
Based on the performance on the daily chart above, the general trend for gold prices remains bullish and according to gold analysts’ expectations, bulls are ready to move quickly towards the $3,000 per ounce peak faster than expected ahead of Trump’s exciting agenda. Therefore, I still prefer to buy gold from every downward level but without risk and activate profit and stop loss orders to ensure the safety of the trading account from any sudden price reversals. The gold market will continue to be affected by the performance of the US dollar and the extent of investors’ appetite for risk or lack thereof.
The gold price index has risen this year, recording consecutive records and may be preparing to test historical record highs. The rise in prices has been supported by increased demand for safe havens as US President Donald Trump launched a series of aggressive moves on trade, including a planned tax on steel and aluminium imports.
Meanwhile, traders are trying to read the potential consequences for the U.S. economy and monetary policy if the White House’s stance on trade and immigration reignites inflation and weighs on growth. During his testimony, Powell said it would be unwise to speculate on tariff policy. Meanwhile, gold’s recent rally has been accompanied by inflows into bullion-backed exchange-traded funds. Global holdings are up 1.2% so far this year, the highest since November, according to Bloomberg calculations.
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