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Gold Forecast: Consolidates After Recent Rally

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • During the trading session on Wednesday, we saw the gold market go back and forth, showing signs of choppiness.
  • That being said, it’s not a huge surprise considering how bullish we were previously, and therefore it does make a certain amount of sense that we would have to see a little bit of digestion of the gains.
  • After all, markets do not go straight up in the air forever, so I think it does make a bit of sense that the market would take a bit of a breather here.

Gold Forecast Today 27/02: Consolidates After Rally (Chart)

Technical Analysis

The technical analysis for the gold market is obviously very bullish, as the 50 Day EMA is all the way down at the $2800 level. It is not until we break down below there that I would even consider that the uptrend in the gold market could be struggling and perhaps even changing. Even then, I think it would come down to what’s going on around the world.

The $2900 level is also supported, as is the $2850 level. If we can rally from here, I suspect that the market will eventually try to get to the $3000 level, an area that is obviously important from a large, round, psychologically significant standpoint. If we can hit the $3000 level, I think that there will be a lot of people out there willing to take profit, and it is possible that it could end up being a massive “ceiling in the market”, at least temporarily. That being said, I don’t think that you should be shorting the gold market just because we hit the $3000 level, rather I think it just might be another pause, but that is something that remains to be seen.

In general, I think this is a situation where gold will continue to be bought on dips, as has been the case for quite some time. However, we could enter a bit of a consolidation range, as the market has rallied rather significantly over the last several months. That of course would be normal as well, and not necessarily bearish.

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Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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