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USD/CAD Forecast: US Dollar Continues to Rally Against the Loonie

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • The US Dollar has rallied a bit against the Canadian dollar on Tuesday, as we continue to hear from Donald Trump that the tariffs are going to be levied on March 4.
  • With this, the Canadian economy will certainly pay the price overall. The market recently has seen a bit of a rally in the Loonie, but at this point in time, there is no reason to be short of this market.
  • The tariffs will be targeted, and therefore it will be interesting to see how this plays out. While there are a lot of Canadian and American intertwining in the economy, the reality is that the bulk of the Canadian economy is heavily reliant on the US.
  • This will be like a financial bomb going on in Canada. Because of this, the trade is certainly skewed to one side. I have been very quiet in this market for a couple of weeks, but it looks like we are picking up yet again.

USD/CAD Today - Signal 26/02: USD vs Loonie (Chart)

Technical Analysis

The technical analysis for this pair is positive over the long term, but at this point, we are also looking at the market going sideways, as we are trying to figure out where we are heading in the longer term. At this point, the market looks like it will eventually break to the upside and if you have been watching me at Daily Forex, I have been suggesting that this was only a matter of time. At this point, it looks like we are getting ready to make a move again.

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This market could very well head toward the 1.45 level, which has been important more than once. This is a situation where I think you are looking at a “buy on the dips” scenario, as the market is now looking at the 1.42 for potential support. This is an area that I think will continue to be important, and I will be watching it.

Potential signal: Buying the pair at 1.4320 level, with a stop at 1.42, target 1.45

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Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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