Signals for the Lira Against the US Dollar Today
Risk 0.50%.
Bullish Entry Points:
- Open a buy order at 35.75.
- Set a stop-loss order below 35.60.
- Move the stop-loss to the entry point and follow the profit with a price movement of 50 pips.
- Close half the contracts at a profit of 70 pips and leave the rest until the strong resistance levels at 35.99.
Bearish Entry Points:
- Place a sell order for 35.99.
- Set a stop-loss order at or above 36.10.
- Move the stop loss to the entry point and follow the profit with a price movement of 50 pips.
- Close half the contracts at a profit of 70 pips and leave the rest until the support levels at 35.75.
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Turkish Lira Analysis:
The USD/TRY pair rose at the beginning of the weekly trading and about to record a new high at 36 lira levels, which is the highest level for the dollar against the lira. Furthermore, the lira continued to decline slowly but steadily with a gradual decline in support from the financial and monetary authorities in the country.
Investors followed the inflation data in the country this morning, which continued to decline, especially on an annual basis, and recorded a higher number than analysts' expectations. Alos, inflation monthly recorded an increase higher than expectations, according to data from the Turkish Statistical Institute. The data revealed an increase in the Consumer Price Index in Turkey during January, with annual inflation recording 42.12%, exceeding expectations which indicated 41.25%, but still lower than the previous reading at 44.38%.
On a monthly basis, the Consumer Price Index recorded a significant increase of 5.03%, exceeding expectations at 4.35% and significantly higher than the previous reading of 1.03%. clearly, it is worth noting that the main group that showed the least increase compared to January of the previous year was transportation prices at 23.14%. Meanwhile, the main group that recorded the highest increase was education prices at 99.93%.
Furthermore, it is worth noting that the Turkish Central Bank is pursuing a new policy based on the flexibility of the lira exchange rate and leaving the lira to decline within limits less than the decline in inflation. Over the past months, the Turkish Central Bank has managed through tightening monetary policy to curb inflation by fixing the interest rate at high levels before approving interest rate cuts during December and January.
TRYUSD Technical Analysis and Expectations Today:
On the technical side, the USD/TRY pair maintained its rise at the beginning of the current week. Technically, the price maintained the daily upward pattern that it records daily. Meanwhile, the pair approached the 36-lira level during today's transactions. With the rise of the dollar globally, which expanded the pressure on the Turkish currency.
The Turkish lira price forecast indicates a continued decline in the medium term, especially amid the support that the pair receives by trading above the 50 and 200 moving averages on the daily and four-hour time frames. Over and above, by trading the pair within an ascending price channel that supports the overall upward trend of the pair.
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