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BTC/USD Forecast: Stuck in a Range

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • Bitcoin initially rallied during the trading session on Wednesday but still can't really find any momentum.
  • It is currently between the 50 day EMA and the 200 day EMA indicators.
  • This, of course, will capture a lot of attention. So, it'll be interesting to see how this plays out.

Nonetheless, this is a market that I think will be very difficult to get a grasp on in the short term because nobody really knows what the risk profile is going to be. After all, there was some excitement about the idea of a strategic crypto reserve in America, but that's got nothing to do with Bitcoin. It's just Bitcoin that they have seized. So, it's not creating any more demand at this point. Ultimately, I think this is a situation where traders will look at this as a market that just doesn't know if it's ready to break out yet.

Forming a Range? Maybe.

BTC/USD Forecast Today 27/03: Stuck in a Range (graph)

It is obviously a market that is trying to form some type of range. It just hasn't been able to break out of it. So, I think we're stuck here with $90,000 above being a very crucial level to watch. If we can break above there, that could change a lot of things for Bitcoin. But right now, I just don't see how we do it. I think you've got a scenario where traders continue to look at this as a sideways market that's just looking for a reason to do something.

Right now, it just doesn't have that reason. So, with that being the case, I'm very neutral on this market. I think we stay pretty flat for the time being, but I also recognize that this is a situation where traders could be accumulating. And I think a lot of people will be doing so in little bits and pieces. I've been dollar crossed averaging, and I think $75,000 now is your floor.

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Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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