USD/RUB Forecast

USD/RUB refers to the US Dollar/ Russian ruble currency pair. RUB, the native currency of the Russian Federation, is the world’s second oldest circulating national currency, after the British pound. However, it has experienced a series of revaluations over the years, such as just prior to the 1992 fall of the USSR, and with the ruble redenomination six years later....
The ruble exchange rate correlates to global energy prices, since it is one of the world’s biggest oil and gas exporters. Russia is geographically huge. The country is double the size of the United States, with a wealth of natural resources. However, its heavy reliance on commodity exports means it has a lower Gross Domestic Product (GDP) than the US and even several much smaller EU economies. The exchange rate for the RUB has been severely impacted by economic factors and by geopolitics. The Russian annexation of Crimea in 2014, and then eight years later, the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, each led to international sanctions by the EU, the US, and other nations, targeting economic sectors ranging from trade and finance to energy and defence. Multiple global Western corporations also stopped doing business with Russia. The result of Russia’s fraught relations with the West, was high volatility and the rapid, severe depreciation of the ruble against other currencies.

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