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USD/CHF Forex Signal - 31 October 2018

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as none of the key levels were ever reached.

Today’s USD/CHF Signals

Risk 0.75%.

Trades must be entered between 8am and 5pm London time today only.

Short Trade

  • Short entry following a bearish price action reversal upon the next touch of 1.0110.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Long Trades

  • Long entry following a bullish price action reversal upon the next touch of 1.0009 or 0.9988.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 25 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

USD/CHF Analysis

I wrote yesterday that a strong and sustained break above the upper trend line of the price channel, currently sitting at about 1.0040, would be a bullish sign and I would be bullish then, also if there were a retracement and strong bullish bounce at 0.9988. The price chart below shows there has been such a break, but it cannot truly be called strong, so I think this does not really qualify as a strictly bullish scenario. However, all the technical still suggest continued upwards movement and the U.S. Dollar is generally strong, and there are no key resistance levels preventing a continuation of the upwards movement until 1.0110. Therefore, I would be bullish today above 1.0060.USDCHF

There is nothing important due today concerning the USD. Regarding the CHF, Chair of the Swiss National Bank will be giving a minor speech at 6:15pm London time..

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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