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CHF/JPY Forecast: Rallies Against JPY

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • You can see that the Swiss franc initially pulled back a bit against the Japanese yen during trading on Thursday to reach the 172.5 yen level only to turn around and show signs of life again.
  • In fact, we bounced rather significantly gaining 100 points.
  • That is a very big move in this pair, which typically is choppier than anything else, as it is considered to be two carry trade currencies and two safety currencies.

So, because of this, I watch this pair quite often because it'll tell me which one of the two currencies I want to short against other currencies. For example, now that the Swiss franc looks like it is trying to break higher against the Japanese yen, you will get more mileage going long something like Aussie against the yen as opposed to Aussie against the Swiss franc. Both would probably work out, but this gives you a relative strength index of safety currencies and therefore this is one of my favorite pairs to watch, mainly because it gives you a look at what the markets are likely to do in general.

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Technical Analysis Looks Good

CHF/JPY Forecast Today 18/10: Rallies Against JPY (graph)

The technical analysis for this pair does suggest that if we can break above the 174.5 yen level, then we really should start to take off. It's worth noting that this candlestick is very strong, and that the Japanese yen has lost strength across the board during the day. It is because of this that I think you are going to continue to see upward momentum, and keeping an eye on this chart can give you an idea as to how most yen-related pairs should behave. If we were to turn around and break down below the 172.5 yen level, then the 50-day EMA comes into the picture as a potential support level. This is an area that we will have to be cognizant of, as it will attract a lot of people and traders to get involved. This market will typically be choppy, but it is likely we will see a bigger and longer-term move.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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