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WTI Crude Oil and Natural Gas Forecast - 19 October 2016

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market fell slightly during the course of the session on Tuesday, but turned around to form a bit of a hammer although the $50 handle. If we can break above the top of the hammer, the market should then reach towards the $51.50 level. If we can break above there, the market should continue to go much higher and reaching towards the $55 level after that. I believe that the $49 level below is massively supportive, and as a result I don’t have any interest in selling until we break down and close well below there. If we do, the market should then reach down to the $47 level. I think at this point in time though, it makes sense that the buyer will return to this market again and again, so I don’t really have any interest in selling at this moment. I do recognize that it will that longer-term we may have serious oversupply issues.

Oil

Natural Gas

The natural gas markets rallied during the course of the session on Tuesday, but then turned right back around to form a shooting star. At this point in time, I recognize that the $3 level below should continue to be supportive, and with that being the case I think there’s plenty of room to move to the downside and find plenty of buying opportunities. A supportive candle would be reason enough to go long, and I believe that the 50-day exponential moving average in the previous uptrend line should continue to offer support psychologically below as well.

At this point in time, I believe that the market should continue to grind higher and perhaps reach towards the $3.40 level over the longer term as it is a large area on the longer-term charts, and of course will be a target for money.

NatGas

Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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